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Roland Garros Player Betting Analysis
Roland Garros is upon us and it is going to be another great tournament. With Federer and Nadal attaining the first two seeds in Hamburg last week, the tournament is going to be excited about a possible Nadal-Federer final for the third year running. But there isn’t going to be a lot of money to be made on Federer, Nadal, Djokovic or Davydenko in the first week and a half except possibly on set betting. So let’s look at players that will make you money depending on who they play and who you will get good value from with their great play. And also at players that in our view, are overrated and risky to take at the prices that will most likely be offered on them. Here’s a look at four players that we see playing very well, are dependable and will provide you with some good value on your money for them to win in the first week of the French Open. Be sure to check out the Current French Open Odds before betting.
Great Value Players
Simon Bolelli – This young Italian is a soon to be top twenty player. He can play on hard courts and of course on clay. He reached the finals of Munich where he lost to Fernando Gonzalez in the finals in three sets. He also reached the round of sixteen at Rome and second round of Hamburg. He’s got a great serve on the dirt and is very consistent but also has the ability to knock off big forehands. Even so, he continues to be offered at great value. Depending on his draw, look for Bolelli to make you some money in the first week with some good returns on your investment.
Stanislas Wawrinka – A former junior French Open Champion, the second best player from Switzerland is no longer a secret anymore. Now ranked 10th in the world, his heavy groundstrokes, big serve when it is on, and tenacity have vaulted him into the limelight. Even though his prices may not be that long anymore, he will still have some doubters and still see some good value on his matches early on. You just have to love having your money on a guy that works so hard and gives his all. Very dependable and reliable.
Radek Stepanek – Radek is a great performer, very intelligent on the court and mentally tough. He uses his attacking game very well on clay, as was shown with his upset of Federer and Ferrer in Rome. He can be very dangerous in the first week as a lot of the clay courters struggle against Stepanek’s ability to rally with the best of them and mix it up with serve and volley and charges to the net. Good value can be attained depending on his opponent and you know that your money will be in good hands as far as skill and effort go. Stepanek will not stop at any tactic to come out the winner. A guy you just love to be on and one you hate betting against. Go with him.
Fernando Gonzalez – His ranking has dropped to 25th in the world but he has been very solid on clay this year. He has won two clay tour title in Vina del Mar and Munich, and has really improved his consistency both mentally and with his ground strokes. We could see some good value on him in the first week. He did retire in the third round of Rome but see him being ready. He could make a serious run at the second week in our view.
Buyer Beware on these Players
Richard Gasquet – It has been a rough year for Richard but the oddsmakers still rate him highly. Mentally, he can just check out at any time in a match. He reached the second round last year, before losing to Vliegen, and is coming into this year’s event having only won one match in his last four tournaments. And he is not losing to top guys, having lost to Querrey, Horna and Seppi in his last three clay outings. We recommend staying away from him in the first week as he doesn’t offer much payout for a big risk.
Tomas Berdych – He is coming into the French after coming back from injury after the Davis Cup tie against Russia. Not the most dependable of players both physically and mentally. He lost in the first round of Roland Garros last year and is coming in with just Hamburg and Dusseldorf matches under his belt. A straight set loss to Safin in Hamburg was not impressive for someone that’s prices in the first week will be low. Beware with this unpredictable talent.
Nicolas Almagro – Yes, he’s been hot this year having won two clay tour events and losing in the finals of another one. It would look like he might have a breakout French Open but beware. Almagro lost to Gremelmayr in Barcelona, who is ranked 85th in the world, last month and this can be the type of losses that you can expect from him. A second round loss at Roland Garros to Michael Llodra last year was quite surprising. Mentally, Almagro can be very fragile and can produce some poor tennis. And with the odds that you can expect with his early matches, you don’t need that kind of stress.
Guillermo Ganas – He was hot last year where he reached the quarter-finals and caught the tennis world by storm with back to back wins over Federer in Indian Wells and Miami but a year has gone by and Canas is not nearly as dangerous. He still fights hard but seems to have a lost a step and the rest of the field don’t fear him as much as they did. Losing to Llodra in Hamburg is just one example of a loss that his play has become unpredictable. He will be rated highly still though but he isn’t as dependable as a year ago. Buyer beware.