NCAA Tournament 1st Round Friday Score Predictions – 3/18/22

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march madness score predictions
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Here are the predictions from our model for Friday, 3/18/21. Note that the model excels during the regular season thru the conference tournaments. It tends to struggle with some of these 1st round matchups but returns to form after these first couple of days are in the books.

 1st score using full season data
 2nd score using last 4 games data
 3rd score using last 7 games data
Davidson                 140.5          62   NEUTRAL 
Michigan State            -1.0          76
  
Davidson                 140.5          63   NEUTRAL 
Michigan State            -1.0          71
  
Davidson                 140.5          62   NEUTRAL 
Michigan State            -1.0          71
  
  
  
Cal State Fullerton      145.0          51   semi-N  
Duke                     -18.5          93
  
Cal State Fullerton      145.0          57   semi-N  
Duke                     -18.5          80
  
Cal State Fullerton      145.0          56   semi-N  
Duke                     -18.5          90
  
  
  
Miami                    139.5          69   NEUTRAL 
Southern California       -2.5          69
  
Miami                    139.5          67   NEUTRAL 
Southern California       -2.5          68
  
Miami                    139.5          73   NEUTRAL 
Southern California       -2.5          73
  
  
  
Jacksonville State       137.5          50   NEUTRAL 
Auburn                   -15.5          94
  
Jacksonville State       137.5          47   NEUTRAL 
Auburn                   -15.5          80
  
Jacksonville State       137.5          50   NEUTRAL 
Auburn                   -15.5          90
  
  
  
Iowa State               128.5          57   NEUTRAL 
L.S.U.                    -4.0          63
  
Iowa State               128.5          55   NEUTRAL 
L.S.U.                    -4.0          63
  
Iowa State               128.5          64   NEUTRAL 
L.S.U.                    -4.0          65
  
  
  
Colgate                  139.0          52   semi-N  
Wisconsin                 -7.5          88
  
Colgate                  139.0          57   semi-N  
Wisconsin                 -7.5          84
  
Colgate                  139.0          51   semi-N  
Wisconsin                 -7.5          83
  
  
  
Virginia Tech            123.0          57   NEUTRAL 
Texas                     -1.0          59
  
Virginia Tech            123.0          73   NEUTRAL 
Texas                     -1.0          60
  
Virginia Tech            123.0          68   NEUTRAL 
Texas                     -1.0          65
  
  
  
Yale                     144.5          58   NEUTRAL 
Purdue                   -17.0          88
  
Yale                     144.5          53   NEUTRAL 
Purdue                   -17.0          76
  
Yale                     144.5          54   NEUTRAL 
Purdue                   -17.0          83
  
  
  
U.A.B.                   136.0          56   NEUTRAL 
Houston                   -8.5          78
  
U.A.B.                   136.0          66   NEUTRAL 
Houston                   -8.5          89
  
U.A.B.                   136.0          56   NEUTRAL 
Houston                   -8.5          87
  
  
  
Chattanooga              135.5          58   NEUTRAL 
Illinois                  -7.5          80
  
Chattanooga              135.5          54   NEUTRAL 
Illinois                  -7.5          66
  
Chattanooga              135.5          61   NEUTRAL 
Illinois                  -7.5          83
  
  
  
Loyola Chicago             0.0          62   NEUTRAL 
Ohio State               132.0          67
  
Loyola Chicago             0.0          62   NEUTRAL 
Ohio State               132.0          53
  
Loyola Chicago             0.0          69   NEUTRAL 
Ohio State               132.0          66
  
  
  
Delaware                 133.5          53   NEUTRAL 
Villanova                -15.5          85
  
Delaware                 133.5          44   NEUTRAL 
Villanova                -15.5          55
  
Delaware                 133.5          51   NEUTRAL 
Villanova                -15.5          77
  
  
  
Notre Dame               153.0          69   NEUTRAL 
Alabama                   -4.0          81
  
Notre Dame               153.0          88   NEUTRAL 
Alabama                   -4.0          85
  
Notre Dame               153.0          83   NEUTRAL 
Alabama                   -4.0          84
  
  
  
Montana State            133.0          47   NEUTRAL 
Texas Tech               -15.5          88
  
Montana State            133.0          46   NEUTRAL 
Texas Tech               -15.5          79
  
Montana State            133.0          47   NEUTRAL 
Texas Tech               -15.5          81
  
  
  
Wright State             157.0          59   NEUTRAL 
Arizona                  -21.5         100
  
Wright State             157.0          73   NEUTRAL 
Arizona                  -21.5         101
  
Wright State             157.0          66   NEUTRAL 
Arizona                  -21.5          97
  
  
  
T.C.U.                    -1.0          66   NEUTRAL 
Seton Hall               128.5          62
  
T.C.U.                    -1.0          58   NEUTRAL 
Seton Hall               128.5          49
  
T.C.U.                    -1.0          69   NEUTRAL 
Seton Hall               128.5          53