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Here are the predictions from our model for Friday, 3/18/21. Note that the model excels during the regular season thru the conference tournaments. It tends to struggle with some of these 1st round matchups but returns to form after these first couple of days are in the books.
1st score using full season data
2nd score using last 4 games data
3rd score using last 7 games data
Davidson 140.5 62 NEUTRAL Michigan State -1.0 76 Davidson 140.5 63 NEUTRAL Michigan State -1.0 71 Davidson 140.5 62 NEUTRAL Michigan State -1.0 71 Cal State Fullerton 145.0 51 semi-N Duke -18.5 93 Cal State Fullerton 145.0 57 semi-N Duke -18.5 80 Cal State Fullerton 145.0 56 semi-N Duke -18.5 90 Miami 139.5 69 NEUTRAL Southern California -2.5 69 Miami 139.5 67 NEUTRAL Southern California -2.5 68 Miami 139.5 73 NEUTRAL Southern California -2.5 73 Jacksonville State 137.5 50 NEUTRAL Auburn -15.5 94 Jacksonville State 137.5 47 NEUTRAL Auburn -15.5 80 Jacksonville State 137.5 50 NEUTRAL Auburn -15.5 90 Iowa State 128.5 57 NEUTRAL L.S.U. -4.0 63 Iowa State 128.5 55 NEUTRAL L.S.U. -4.0 63 Iowa State 128.5 64 NEUTRAL L.S.U. -4.0 65 Colgate 139.0 52 semi-N Wisconsin -7.5 88 Colgate 139.0 57 semi-N Wisconsin -7.5 84 Colgate 139.0 51 semi-N Wisconsin -7.5 83 Virginia Tech 123.0 57 NEUTRAL Texas -1.0 59 Virginia Tech 123.0 73 NEUTRAL Texas -1.0 60 Virginia Tech 123.0 68 NEUTRAL Texas -1.0 65 Yale 144.5 58 NEUTRAL Purdue -17.0 88 Yale 144.5 53 NEUTRAL Purdue -17.0 76 Yale 144.5 54 NEUTRAL Purdue -17.0 83 U.A.B. 136.0 56 NEUTRAL Houston -8.5 78 U.A.B. 136.0 66 NEUTRAL Houston -8.5 89 U.A.B. 136.0 56 NEUTRAL Houston -8.5 87 Chattanooga 135.5 58 NEUTRAL Illinois -7.5 80 Chattanooga 135.5 54 NEUTRAL Illinois -7.5 66 Chattanooga 135.5 61 NEUTRAL Illinois -7.5 83 Loyola Chicago 0.0 62 NEUTRAL Ohio State 132.0 67 Loyola Chicago 0.0 62 NEUTRAL Ohio State 132.0 53 Loyola Chicago 0.0 69 NEUTRAL Ohio State 132.0 66 Delaware 133.5 53 NEUTRAL Villanova -15.5 85 Delaware 133.5 44 NEUTRAL Villanova -15.5 55 Delaware 133.5 51 NEUTRAL Villanova -15.5 77 Notre Dame 153.0 69 NEUTRAL Alabama -4.0 81 Notre Dame 153.0 88 NEUTRAL Alabama -4.0 85 Notre Dame 153.0 83 NEUTRAL Alabama -4.0 84 Montana State 133.0 47 NEUTRAL Texas Tech -15.5 88 Montana State 133.0 46 NEUTRAL Texas Tech -15.5 79 Montana State 133.0 47 NEUTRAL Texas Tech -15.5 81 Wright State 157.0 59 NEUTRAL Arizona -21.5 100 Wright State 157.0 73 NEUTRAL Arizona -21.5 101 Wright State 157.0 66 NEUTRAL Arizona -21.5 97 T.C.U. -1.0 66 NEUTRAL Seton Hall 128.5 62 T.C.U. -1.0 58 NEUTRAL Seton Hall 128.5 49 T.C.U. -1.0 69 NEUTRAL Seton Hall 128.5 53
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