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Here are score predictions from our model for every game on the board in college basketball today, 3/7/24. There are 3 sets of predictions for each game using different time frame parameters.
The first prediction uses full season data. The 2nd prediction uses data from only the last 4 games and the 3rd uses data from only the last 7 games.
In college hoops, current form is everything. So we weigh the 3rd prediction more heavily than the others when using the model in our own handicapping.
Lastly, the model is at it’s best when picking underdogs!
1st score using full season data 2nd score using last 4 games data 3rd score using last 7 games data Rutgers 132.0 59 Wisconsin -10.0 72 Rutgers 132.0 62 Wisconsin -10.0 69 Rutgers 132.0 69 Wisconsin -10.0 67 U.A.B. -2.0 76 Temple 145.0 71 U.A.B. -2.0 70 Temple 145.0 71 U.A.B. -2.0 73 Temple 145.0 76 Iona -7.0 76 Manhattan 145.0 67 Iona -7.0 71 Manhattan 145.0 56 Iona -7.0 73 Manhattan 145.0 61 Canisius 144.0 72 Fairfield -8.5 74 Canisius 144.0 61 Fairfield -8.5 62 Canisius 144.0 59 Fairfield -8.5 72 Niagara -7.5 68 Siena 137.0 68 Niagara -7.5 66 Siena 137.0 69 Niagara -7.5 71 Siena 137.0 59 Marist 138.0 64 Quinnipiac -4.0 68 Marist 138.0 64 Quinnipiac -4.0 64 Marist 138.0 66 Quinnipiac -4.0 68 Utah Tech -4.5 79 UT Rio Grande Valley 151.5 72 Utah Tech -4.5 78 UT Rio Grande Valley 151.5 68 Utah Tech -4.5 81 UT Rio Grande Valley 151.5 71 Southern Utah 149.0 73 Stephen F. Austin -7.0 78 Southern Utah 149.0 71 Stephen F. Austin -7.0 78 Southern Utah 149.0 72 Stephen F. Austin -7.0 74 St. Peter's 135.0 64 Rider -2.0 65 St. Peter's 135.0 65 Rider -2.0 68 St. Peter's 135.0 63 Rider -2.0 68 California Baptist 141.5 64 Texas Arlington -6.5 74 California Baptist 141.5 63 Texas Arlington -6.5 80 California Baptist 141.5 68 Texas Arlington -6.5 81 Utah Valley 141.0 66 Tarleton State -5.5 69 Utah Valley 141.0 71 Tarleton State -5.5 78 Utah Valley 141.0 65 Tarleton State -5.5 76 Seattle -1.5 71 Abilene Christian 141.5 67 Seattle -1.5 68 Abilene Christian 141.5 75 Seattle -1.5 69 Abilene Christian 141.5 69 Colorado 149.0 78 Oregon -3.0 77 Colorado 149.0 92 Oregon -3.0 79 Colorado 149.0 83 Oregon -3.0 76 Sam Houston State 137.0 63 Louisiana Tech -8.0 71 Sam Houston State 137.0 65 Louisiana Tech -8.0 65 Sam Houston State 137.0 63 Louisiana Tech -8.0 68 Florida International 142.0 69 UTEP -8.0 77 Florida International 142.0 64 UTEP -8.0 70 Florida International 142.0 67 UTEP -8.0 72 Washington 149.5 74 Washington State -7.0 77 Washington 149.5 86 Washington State -7.0 76 Washington 149.5 70 Washington State -7.0 81 Arizona -8.5 84 UCLA 147.0 64 Arizona -8.5 95 UCLA 147.0 73 Arizona -8.5 91 UCLA 147.0 75 Cal Poly SLO 138.0 53 UC Irvine -22.5 83 Cal Poly SLO 138.0 64 UC Irvine -22.5 102 Cal Poly SLO 138.0 60 UC Irvine -22.5 91 Cal State Fullerton 136.5 64 UC Riverside -3.0 69 Cal State Fullerton 136.5 77 UC Riverside -3.0 70 Cal State Fullerton 136.5 67 UC Riverside -3.0 77 UC Davis 140.0 64 UC San Diego -6.5 73 UC Davis 140.0 63 UC San Diego -6.5 77 UC Davis 140.0 64 UC San Diego -6.5 77 UC Santa Barbara 155.0 74 Long Beach State -5.0 82 UC Santa Barbara 155.0 70 Long Beach State -5.0 81 UC Santa Barbara 155.0 71 Long Beach State -5.0 75 California 156.0 76 Stanford -4.5 79 California 156.0 85 Stanford -4.5 76 California 156.0 76 Stanford -4.5 78 Arizona State 144.0 70 Southern California -8.5 76 Arizona State 144.0 75 Southern California -8.5 72 Arizona State 144.0 83 Southern California -8.5 78 Utah -6.5 78 Oregon State 143.0 65 Utah -6.5 87 Oregon State 143.0 77 Utah -6.5 79 Oregon State 143.0 71 Georgia Southern 150.5 79 NEUTRAL South Alabama -3.0 77 Georgia Southern 150.5 98 NEUTRAL South Alabama -3.0 76 Georgia Southern 150.5 82 NEUTRAL South Alabama -3.0 82 Coastal Carolina 149.0 71 NEUTRAL Louisiana Lafayette -12.5 84 Coastal Carolina 149.0 78 NEUTRAL Louisiana Lafayette -12.5 75 Coastal Carolina 149.0 70 NEUTRAL Louisiana Lafayette -12.5 75 Texas State 135.0 69 NEUTRAL Southern Mississippi -1.0 68 Texas State 135.0 77 NEUTRAL Southern Mississippi -1.0 78 Texas State 135.0 73 NEUTRAL Southern Mississippi -1.0 73 Marshall 0.0 80 NEUTRAL Georgia State 150.5 76 Marshall 0.0 72 NEUTRAL Georgia State 150.5 82 Marshall 0.0 69 NEUTRAL Georgia State 150.5 73 Missouri State 139.0 69 NEUTRAL Murray State -2.0 69 Missouri State 139.0 78 NEUTRAL Murray State -2.0 80 Missouri State 139.0 79 NEUTRAL Murray State -2.0 79 Valparaiso 154.0 69 NEUTRAL Belmont -13.5 84 Valparaiso 154.0 66 NEUTRAL Belmont -13.5 83 Valparaiso 154.0 73 NEUTRAL Belmont -13.5 87 Evansville 135.5 65 NEUTRAL Illinois State -3.5 71 Evansville 135.5 63 NEUTRAL Illinois State -3.5 62 Evansville 135.5 69 NEUTRAL Illinois State -3.5 77 Illinois Chicago 137.0 64 NEUTRAL Southern Illinois -5.0 71 Illinois Chicago 137.0 88 NEUTRAL Southern Illinois -5.0 75 Illinois Chicago 137.0 78 NEUTRAL Southern Illinois -5.0 76 Pacific 150.5 65 NEUTRAL Pepperdine -9.0 83 Pacific 150.5 67 NEUTRAL Pepperdine -9.0 97 Pacific 150.5 72 NEUTRAL Pepperdine -9.0 90 IUPU Fort Wayne 148.5 65 Oakland -3.5 91 IUPU Fort Wayne 148.5 79 Oakland -3.5 66 IUPU Fort Wayne 148.5 77 Oakland -3.5 80 Cleveland State 151.5 77 Youngstown State -9.5 76 Cleveland State 151.5 53 Youngstown State -9.5 86 Cleveland State 151.5 71 Youngstown State -9.5 84 Northern Kentucky 160.5 80 Wright State -7.0 86 Northern Kentucky 160.5 72 Wright State -7.0 110 Northern Kentucky 160.5 76 Wright State -7.0 91 Wisconsin Milwaukee 145.5 71 Wisconsin Green Bay -1.0 74 Wisconsin Milwaukee 145.5 61 Wisconsin Green Bay -1.0 91 Wisconsin Milwaukee 145.5 75 Wisconsin Green Bay -1.0 81 Tennessee State 134.5 67 NEUTRAL Western Illinois -2.5 66 Tennessee State 134.5 79 NEUTRAL Western Illinois -2.5 79 Tennessee State 134.5 64 NEUTRAL Western Illinois -2.5 72 SIU Edwardsville 138.5 63 NEUTRAL Morehead State -8.0 73 SIU Edwardsville 138.5 56 NEUTRAL Morehead State -8.0 66 SIU Edwardsville 138.5 65 NEUTRAL Morehead State -8.0 77 Coppin State 141.0 66 Morgan State -7.5 67 Coppin State 141.0 64 Morgan State -7.5 82 Coppin State 141.0 63 Morgan State -7.5 77 South Carolina State 143.5 79 North Carolina Central -7.5 66 South Carolina State 143.5 63 North Carolina Central -7.5 76 South Carolina State 143.5 73 North Carolina Central -7.5 70 Delaware State -3.5 66 Maryland Eastern Shore 134.0 62 Delaware State -3.5 73 Maryland Eastern Shore 134.0 66 Delaware State -3.5 68 Maryland Eastern Shore 134.0 65 Grambling State -3.0 66 Alabama A&M 134.0 71 Grambling State -3.0 61 Alabama A&M 134.0 51 Grambling State -3.0 60 Alabama A&M 134.0 57 Mississippi Valley St. 132.0 58 Alcorn State -18.5 76 Mississippi Valley St. 132.0 55 Alcorn State -18.5 81 Mississippi Valley St. 132.0 54 Alcorn State -18.5 70 Arkansas Pine Bluff 154.0 65 Jackson State -8.0 99 Arkansas Pine Bluff 154.0 67 Jackson State -8.0 85 Arkansas Pine Bluff 154.0 67 Jackson State -8.0 72 Southern -1.0 72 Alabama State 131.5 62 Southern -1.0 62 Alabama State 131.5 53 Southern -1.0 65 Alabama State 131.5 56 Howard 146.0 73 Norfolk State -5.0 72 Howard 146.0 72 Norfolk State -5.0 76 Howard 146.0 76 Norfolk State -5.0 72 Jacksonville 138.5 68 Stetson -6.0 79 Jacksonville 138.5 77 Stetson -6.0 71 Jacksonville 138.5 69 Stetson -6.0 75 North Alabama 148.5 73 Austin Peay -4.0 78 North Alabama 148.5 85 Austin Peay -4.0 108 North Alabama 148.5 83 Austin Peay -4.0 92 Holy Cross 142.0 55 Colgate -18.0 78 Holy Cross 142.0 66 Colgate -18.0 73 Holy Cross 142.0 59 Colgate -18.0 68 Bucknell 128.0 63 American -4.5 61 Bucknell 128.0 44 American -4.5 51 Bucknell 128.0 48 American -4.5 54 Lehigh -3.5 60 Lafayette 137.5 64 Lehigh -3.5 60 Lafayette 137.5 49 Lehigh -3.5 68 Lafayette 137.5 65 Navy 133.0 56 Boston University -4.5 64 Navy 133.0 70 Boston University -4.5 62 Navy 133.0 57 Boston University -4.5 64 Nicholls State 139.0 69 Southeastern Louisiana -3.0 70 Nicholls State 139.0 75 Southeastern Louisiana -3.0 71 Nicholls State 139.0 80 Southeastern Louisiana -3.0 67
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