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The following score predictions are for the 1st round of the NCAA tournament as well as the NIT. There are 3 predictions for each game, using different time frame parameters, full season, last 4 and last 7.
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Be careful using these predictions for games involving high seeded teams playing teams from obscure, weak conferences. The model does NOT do a good job with these games and sometimes these obscure teams are competitive with the big boys, at least in terms of covering the number.
For example, Texas AM vs. Yale. Yale is a hot upset pick for the 1st round. While they may not win or even cover, the model os WAY OFF here. Yale will not lose by 50 points!
Ignore those predicted blowouts for the most part.
1st score using full season data
2nd score using last 4 games data
3rd score using last 7 games data
St. Francis PA 138.5 69 NEUTRAL
Alabama State -4.0 72
St. Francis PA 138.5 54 NEUTRAL
Alabama State -4.0 53
St. Francis PA 138.5 59 NEUTRAL
Alabama State -4.0 67
North Carolina -5.0 77 NEUTRAL
San Diego State 142.5 67
North Carolina -5.0 72 NEUTRAL
San Diego State 142.5 53
North Carolina -5.0 82 NEUTRAL
San Diego State 142.5 63
Kent State 134.0 58
St. Bonaventure -4.5 73
Kent State 134.0 48
St. Bonaventure -4.5 79
Kent State 134.0 61
St. Bonaventure -4.5 82
Jacksonville State 141.0 59
Georgia Tech -5.5 83
Jacksonville State 141.0 49
Georgia Tech -5.5 73
Jacksonville State 141.0 56
Georgia Tech -5.5 77
Chattanooga 154.5 70
Middle Tennessee St. -2.5 80
Chattanooga 154.5 67
Middle Tennessee St. -2.5 81
Chattanooga 154.5 66
Middle Tennessee St. -2.5 90
St. Louis 153.0 77
Arkansas State -4.5 72
St. Louis 153.0 87
Arkansas State -4.5 84
St. Louis 153.0 90
Arkansas State -4.5 68
Wichita State 155.0 65
Oklahoma State -5.5 86
Wichita State 155.0 64
Oklahoma State -5.5 92
Wichita State 155.0 63
Oklahoma State -5.5 92
Cal State Northridge 154.5 60
Stanford -6.5 96
Cal State Northridge 154.5 57
Stanford -6.5 101
Cal State Northridge 154.5 62
Stanford -6.5 83
UC Riverside 154.5 64
Santa Clara -11.0 93
UC Riverside 154.5 73
Santa Clara -11.0 109
UC Riverside 154.5 73
Santa Clara -11.0 111
Mount St. Mary's 129.5 64 NEUTRAL
American -2.5 64
Mount St. Mary's 129.5 54 NEUTRAL
American -2.5 52
Mount St. Mary's 129.5 59 NEUTRAL
American -2.5 55
Xavier -3.0 75 NEUTRAL
Texas 150.0 76
Xavier -3.0 84 NEUTRAL
Texas 150.0 101
Xavier -3.0 80 NEUTRAL
Texas 150.0 89
U.A.B. 154.5 71
St. Joseph's -5.5 87
U.A.B. 154.5 76
St. Joseph's -5.5 71
U.A.B. 154.5 83
St. Joseph's -5.5 79
Samford 145.5 61
George Mason -7.5 84
Samford 145.5 64
George Mason -7.5 122
Samford 145.5 68
George Mason -7.5 92
North Alabama 144.5 64
Bradley -4.5 85
North Alabama 144.5 60
Bradley -4.5 67
North Alabama 144.5 61
Bradley -4.5 79
Dayton -1.0 79
Florida Atlantic 150.5 71
Dayton -1.0 80
Florida Atlantic 150.5 62
Dayton -1.0 77
Florida Atlantic 150.5 70
Furman 128.0 55
North Texas -7.5 74
Furman 128.0 80
North Texas -7.5 71
Furman 128.0 68
North Texas -7.5 72
Northern Iowa 145.5 62
Southern Methodist -10.0 86
Northern Iowa 145.5 44
Southern Methodist -10.0 71
Northern Iowa 145.5 57
Southern Methodist -10.0 77
Northern Colorado 151.0 63
UC Irvine -8.0 85
Northern Colorado 151.0 71
UC Irvine -8.0 89
Northern Colorado 151.0 70
UC Irvine -8.0 82
Utah Valley 144.0 59
San Francisco -7.0 85
Utah Valley 144.0 64
San Francisco -7.0 100
Utah Valley 144.0 62
San Francisco -7.0 86
Loyola Chicago -2.0 69
San Jose State 140.5 70
Loyola Chicago -2.0 63
San Jose State 140.5 55
Loyola Chicago -2.0 74
San Jose State 140.5 66
McNeese State 134.0 54 NEUTRAL
Clemson -7.5 85
McNeese State 134.0 48 NEUTRAL
Clemson -7.5 75
McNeese State 134.0 56 NEUTRAL
Clemson -7.5 83
High Point 153.0 55 NEUTRAL
Purdue -9.0 109
High Point 153.0 66 NEUTRAL
Purdue -9.0 99
High Point 153.0 60 NEUTRAL
Purdue -9.0 103
Arkansas 145.0 69 NEUTRAL
Kansas -4.5 78
Arkansas 145.0 93 NEUTRAL
Kansas -4.5 102
Arkansas 145.0 81 NEUTRAL
Kansas -4.5 92
Nebraska Omaha 148.0 55 NEUTRAL
St. John's -18.5 103
Nebraska Omaha 148.0 55 NEUTRAL
St. John's -18.5 104
Nebraska Omaha 148.0 59 NEUTRAL
St. John's -18.5 109
Creighton 144.5 72 NEUTRAL
Louisville -1.5 74
Creighton 144.5 69 NEUTRAL
Louisville -1.5 80
Creighton 144.5 67 NEUTRAL
Louisville -1.5 78
Utah State 144.5 68 NEUTRAL
UCLA -5.5 79
Utah State 144.5 65 NEUTRAL
UCLA -5.5 80
Utah State 144.5 68 NEUTRAL
UCLA -5.5 77
Wofford 133.5 48 NEUTRAL
Tennessee -19.5 99
Wofford 133.5 56 NEUTRAL
Tennessee -19.5 114
Wofford 133.5 54 NEUTRAL
Tennessee -19.5 103
SIU Edwardsville 127.5 36 NEUTRAL
Houston -28.5 107
SIU Edwardsville 127.5 42 NEUTRAL
Houston -28.5 92
SIU Edwardsville 127.5 40 NEUTRAL
Houston -28.5 106
Georgia 150.5 78 NEUTRAL
Gonzaga -5.5 76
Georgia 150.5 70 NEUTRAL
Gonzaga -5.5 79
Georgia 150.5 83 NEUTRAL
Gonzaga -5.5 78
Drake 133.5 56 NEUTRAL
Missouri -8.5 84
Drake 133.5 55 NEUTRAL
Missouri -8.5 80
Drake 133.5 60 NEUTRAL
Missouri -8.5 90
NC Wilmington 141.5 55 NEUTRAL
Texas Tech -18.0 102
NC Wilmington 141.5 55 NEUTRAL
Texas Tech -18.0 104
NC Wilmington 141.5 52 NEUTRAL
Texas Tech -18.0 103
UC San Diego 140.5 57 NEUTRAL
Michigan -3.5 92
UC San Diego 140.5 48 NEUTRAL
Michigan -3.5 80
UC San Diego 140.5 55 NEUTRAL
Michigan -3.5 86
Yale 141.5 56 NEUTRAL
Texas A&M -6.5 97
Yale 141.5 56 NEUTRAL
Texas A&M -6.5 98
Yale 141.5 58 NEUTRAL
Texas A&M -6.5 103
Virginia Commonwealth 143.5 66 NEUTRAL
B.Y.U. -3.5 79
Virginia Commonwealth 143.5 62 NEUTRAL
B.Y.U. -3.5 79
Virginia Commonwealth 143.5 65 NEUTRAL
B.Y.U. -3.5 90
Montana 148.5 55 NEUTRAL
Wisconsin -17.5 108
Montana 148.5 51 NEUTRAL
Wisconsin -17.5 100
Montana 148.5 52 NEUTRAL
Wisconsin -17.5 103
Baylor 0.0 77 NEUTRAL
Mississippi State 144.0 75
Baylor 0.0 84 NEUTRAL
Mississippi State 144.0 71
Baylor 0.0 80 NEUTRAL
Mississippi State 144.0 76
Norfolk State 153.5 46 NEUTRAL
Florida -29.0 131
Norfolk State 153.5 38 NEUTRAL
Florida -29.0 163
Norfolk State 153.5 46 NEUTRAL
Florida -29.0 167
Oklahoma 146.5 76 NEUTRAL
Connecticut -4.5 75
Oklahoma 146.5 74 NEUTRAL
Connecticut -4.5 69
Oklahoma 146.5 88 NEUTRAL
Connecticut -4.5 78
New Mexico 152.0 69 NEUTRAL
Marquette -4.0 81
New Mexico 152.0 68 NEUTRAL
Marquette -4.0 84
New Mexico 152.0 68 NEUTRAL
Marquette -4.0 82
Bryant 151.0 53 NEUTRAL
Michigan State -18.0 114
Bryant 151.0 50 NEUTRAL
Michigan State -18.0 116
Bryant 151.0 47 NEUTRAL
Michigan State -18.0 110
Vanderbilt 135.0 73 NEUTRAL
St. Mary's -4.5 68
Vanderbilt 135.0 67 NEUTRAL
St. Mary's -4.5 69
Vanderbilt 135.0 77 NEUTRAL
St. Mary's -4.5 68
Robert Morris 167.0 58 NEUTRAL
Alabama -23.0 128
Robert Morris 167.0 65 NEUTRAL
Alabama -23.0 143
Robert Morris 167.0 61 NEUTRAL
Alabama -23.0 146
Lipscomb 142.5 52 NEUTRAL
Iowa State -13.5 104
Lipscomb 142.5 53 NEUTRAL
Iowa State -13.5 112
Lipscomb 142.5 51 NEUTRAL
Iowa State -13.5 110
Troy 152.5 57 NEUTRAL
Kentucky -11.0 108
Troy 152.5 73 NEUTRAL
Kentucky -11.0 106
Troy 152.5 61 NEUTRAL
Kentucky -11.0 118
Liberty 139.5 54 NEUTRAL
Oregon -5.5 91
Liberty 139.5 62 NEUTRAL
Oregon -5.5 84
Liberty 139.5 62 NEUTRAL
Oregon -5.5 90
Akron 166.5 60 NEUTRAL
Arizona -15.0 117
Akron 166.5 61 NEUTRAL
Arizona -15.0 135
Akron 166.5 65 NEUTRAL
Arizona -15.0 135
Colorado State -2.5 74 NEUTRAL
Memphis 145.5 73
Colorado State -2.5 90 NEUTRAL
Memphis 145.5 61
Colorado State -2.5 92 NEUTRAL
Memphis 145.5 63
Grand Canyon 149.5 59 NEUTRAL
Maryland -11.5 98
Grand Canyon 149.5 63 NEUTRAL
Maryland -11.5 110
Grand Canyon 149.5 56 NEUTRAL
Maryland -11.5 103
Illinois State -3.5 88 NEUTRAL
Presbyterian 144.0 61
Illinois State -3.5 59 NEUTRAL
Presbyterian 144.0 55
Illinois State -3.5 72 NEUTRAL
Presbyterian 144.0 67
Manhattan 0.0 77 NEUTRAL
Incarnate Word -0.5 66
Manhattan 0.0 75 NEUTRAL
Incarnate Word -0.5 68
Manhattan 0.0 68 NEUTRAL
Incarnate Word -0.5 68
Elon 0.0 79 NEUTRAL
Army -0.5 64
Elon 0.0 87 NEUTRAL
Army -0.5 68
Elon 0.0 79 NEUTRAL
Army -0.5 59
Queens 0.0 80 NEUTRAL
Northern Arizona -0.5 72
Queens 0.0 77 NEUTRAL
Northern Arizona -0.5 64
Queens 0.0 76 NEUTRAL
Northern Arizona -0.5 77
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