Florida
vs.
LSU
College Football
Pick
Betting Trends
10/12/13
This is a rather huge Game for both of these teams. Neither one can deal with a Conference loss at this point if they want to have a chance at the SEC Championship Game. Florida is undefeated at the moment, but still has road Games at Missouri and South Carolina and play Georgia at a neutral site. LSU already has a Conference loss and can ill-afford to lose another one with Alabama and Texas A&M remaining on the Schedule. The current line at 5 dimes sportsbook is LSU -7 -115. The 1st book to post a total on this Game is betonline and it sits at 47.
Florida quarterback, Tyler Murphy has looked good taking over for the injured Jeff Driskel, but Murphy has not faced a top defense like LSU’s yet. Of course the Tigers haven’t been all that dominant defensively thus far. They have given up 67 points in the last two Games and gave up 21 to Auburn at home the week prior.
It’s going to be a tall task for Murphy on the road, but he has a chance to shine. He’s completing 72 percent of his passes and only has one interception compared to five touchdowns. Murphy is also a threat on the ground, which could be huge in this Game. Running backs Matt Jones (322 yards) and MACk Brown (284 yards) have to get something going because Murphy can’t do it alone. Murphy has a few receivers that provide tough matchups with Solomon Patton leading the way with 348 yards and Four touchdowns on the season.
LSU could not contain the precision of Aaron Murray a couple weeks ago and had trouble stopping Dak Prescott on the ground last week. Will Murphy and company be able to find the weak spot in the Tigers defense?
In big SEC battles like this, it’s usually defense that wins. This is especially true for road teams. Florida is only allowing just over 12 points per Game, but they haven’t faced many great teams yet. In their only loss, they couldn’t contain Miami (FL) and the offense had trouble doing much. It may be the same result in this one.
The Gators have a great secondary, but it may not matter in this one. Zach Mettenberger is playing out of his mind compared with last season’s dismal performances. He already has 1,738 yards to go with 15 TDs and only two INTs. Odell Beckham (686 yards, six TDs) and Jarvis LAndry (616 yards, seven TDs) are destroying opposing defenses in the passing Game. Then they have Jeremy Hill in the backfield, who already has 593 yards and nine touchdowns to his name.
Winning at LSU is going to be a monumental task for Florida. Last year’s Game was all about defense with the Gators taking it at home, 14-6. The result is set to be a lot different in this one with offenses being the focal point.
The betting public, according to the betting trends at 5dimes.com, thinks the Gators have no chance. 94% of the action coming in on this Game has been on LSU. You can view these trends by signing up for an account at 5dimes.com and we highly recommend you do so. The betting trends are a tool no bettor should be without!
The Gators are 6-2 ATS in their last eight road Games, but only 2-6 ATS vs. a team with a winning record. The Tigers are 1-3-1 ATS in their last five Conference Games and only 1-5-1 ATS in their last seven Games following a straight up win. Florida is 6-1 ATS in the last seven meetings between these teams that have taken place at LSU.