Ole Miss – Miss St CFB Spread Winner

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Ole Miss

vs.

Mississippi State

Free College

Football Pick

11/28/15

No matter how good these teams are, the Egg Bowl usually presents a fun matchup in Mississippi. This time around, Ole Miss still has a chance to win the SEC West, but that doesn’t mean less is at stake for Mississippi State. There isn’t much to separate these teams with the Rebels coming in as a slight road favorite at -1 points (as seen at 5Dimes Sportsbook).

The home team has had a massive leg up in recent matchups, winning 10 of the last 11 meetings. And while the spread has been small, the last three winners have all been home underdogs. The Bulldogs could make it a Fourth straight home dog win if they can pull this one out in Dak Prescott’s final regular season Game.

Mississippi State has played well this year, but just don’t have enough outside of Prescott to take down the top teams in the conference. With an 8-3 record, the Bulldogs still have surprised a bit and a win here would be a nice send-off for Prescott.

Ole Miss has been a little more disappointing after taking down Alabama earlier in the season. The Rebels were in line for the playoff, but then suddenly fell off in huge road losses to Florida and Memphis. They have won three of their last Four, but still haven’t done anything too dominant to think they have a leg up in this matchup.

The biggest name in this meeting is MSU quarterback Dak Prescott, who is having an incredible season with 32 total touchdowns and just three interceptions. If it weren’t for the team’s three losses, Prescott would easily be in the Heisman conversation. Prescott had seven touchdowns at Arkansas last week in a 51-50 win, a week after getting handled by Alabama. It was an impressive performance and something he’d like to replicate in his last home Game. Prescott has been everything for this offense as no running back has more than 70 carries this year, while he has 127. Fred Ross (69 receptions) and De’Runnya Wilson (9 TDs) have both been huge in the passing Game.

Ole Miss has had a couple good defensive Games, but struggled against better offenses. Miss. State isn’t a great offense, but better than what LSU presented last week against the Rebels. Both teams should be able to Scorein this one, with it likely being a close Game throughout. Unfortunately for the Bulldogs, they are coming off a busy Game in which they allowed 50 points.

The Rebels have been off-and-on offensively this year with Chad Kelly at quarterback. He had a month of interception problems, but hasn’t thrown a pick in two straight, which is why they have been scoring more. Ole Miss doesn’t have a great ground Game either, but like MSU, gets the job done some way or another. Jaylen Walton leads the team with 597 yards on 118 carries and finished with just 15 yards against LSU in a 21-point win. The Rebels will need Kelly to have another good Game, through air and ground to have a shot. Kelly has done his best Prescott impression in the last two Games, rushing for 191 yards and five touchdowns in addition to five more passing touchdowns.

again, the Rebels won last year as a home underdog 31-17 in a matchup that is seemingly dominated by home dogs. The Bulldogs are 4-1 ATS in the last five meetings between these teams played at Mississippi State. The Rebels have not covered in five straight following a straight up win.

Our Pick – Miss State +1

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