College Football Pick
By Jason Green
Navy has started the season 2-0 and they head to the Big Easy where they are 6-point road favorites facing Tulane. Like usual Navy has a great rushing attack and after 2 Games they rank 5th in the nation averaging 331 rushing yards per Game.
Tulane almost scored the upset in their season opener facing Wake Forest and they got into the W column in their last Game with a 66-21 blowout win over Southern. This is their first Conference Game while Navy looks to move to 2-0 in the AAC after beating UCONN last week.
Obviously the run Game and run D will be key in this Game, as both teams rank in the top 10 in the nation in rushing yards per Game while neither ranks in the top 120 in passing yards per Game.
Last season at Navy the Midshipmen beat the Green Wave 31-14. The home team has covered the spread in 4 of the last 5 Games between these teams.
Even with the injured QB Tago Smith out Navy’s Will Worth came in and he scored the Game winner in the win over UCONN. He was a solid 6 for 8 for 130 yards passing the ball and was also the 2nd leading rusher even though he only averaged 2.3 yards per carry. The Midshipmen use a triple-option with many guys who can move the chains. In the UCONN Game Navy rushed for 235 yards with Dishan Romine the leader with 76 yards on the ground.
Tulane ranks a solid 16th in the nation in rushing defense, but they have not really played a strong team yet. Still, their defense has some playmakers led by LB Eric Thomas, who has to force Navy to pass the ball, which is not their strength.
Navy held UCONN to only 90 rushing yards last week, but they did give up 264 passing yards. Johnathan Brantley will be making the start at QB for Tulane and he has only 1 pass attempt all season. However, he ranks 2nd on the squad in rushing yards and he and RB Dontrell Hilliard, who is averaging over 8 yards per carry, are the 2 guys that have to play well for Tulane to win at home.
Navy has the advantage in the trenches with their offensive line and that will be key in this Game. Worth will get another start and if Tulane stacks the line against the run he will air it out. However, if the Green Wave cannot stop the run early he will not have to.
Navy is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 Conference Games and average they have covered the spread in 7 of their last 9 Games.
Tulane is a solid 6-2 ATS in their last 8 Games, but only 2-5 ATS in their last 7 Games facing a team with a winning record.
Jason’s Pick: Tulane outgained Navy in last years Game and returnes 8 starters on each side of the ball. Not impressed with Navy and their performance against a weak UCONN team last week. Tulane +6