College Football Pick
The real Games begin for these two teams this week. Both Oregon and Nebraska have faced weaker opponents in the early weeks and both have resulted in mostly easy wins. The difference is that Oregon is 0-2 ATS and Nebraska is 2-0. So with that, the Cornhuskers are currently a -3 point home favorite as seen at 5 Dimes Sportsbook.
The Ducks haven’t covered yet, but how much can you fault them? They beat UC Davis by 25 (as 48-point favorite) and Virginia by 18 (as 24-point favorite). The offense has looked the same with Dakota Prukop at quarterback, while the defense remains a question. Nothing new for this team.
The difference for Nebraska is that their defense has played a tad better, allowing 27 points in their two Games (Oregon has allowed 54). Will that difference in defense be the decider in this Game?
Oregon traveled to a different Big Ten team last season, falling 30-27 to Michigan State. As for Nebraska, they took out UCLA 37-29 in the Foster Farms Bowl.
So, where to start? The obvious question for both teams will be if either defense can stop the other team. The over/under is set at 73, but that number could go up.
Oregon’s defense has allowed close to 30 points to two mediocre offenses so far and now has to face a dynamic Cornhusker offense led by experienced quarterback Tommy Armstrong Jr. That said, he hasn’t been asked to do much as Nebraska won their first two Games with ease, but expect much more Armstrong in this Game. The ground attack led the first couple Games, whether it was Terrell Newby, Devine Ozigbo or Tre Bryant, they all moved the ball well.
The Ducks were beaten through the air in the first Game and then on the ground in the second Game. Will they be able to stop anything Nebraska throws at them? Combine a consistent running Game with Armstrong slinging to Alonzo Moore and Jordan Westerkamp and 40 points isn’t out of the question for Nebraska.
But on the other end, are the Huskers much better? They were in plenty of shootouts last season as well.
At this point, there’s been no hope of stopping Royce Freeman, who has to feel disrespected that he isn’t getting credit as one of the best running backs in the nation. So he’s done the talking with his numbers, going for 294 yards and Four touchdowns on 9.2 yards per carry in the first two Games. Freeman has been an absolute monster for Oregon through the years and could be heading for even better numbers this season.
To go with that, Prukop hasn’t detracted from Oregon’s offense one bit, throwing for 602 yards and six touchdowns. As long as he can stay healthy, this offense will be better than it was a year ago. Prukop will get his first real competition in this Game as most of Nebraska’s defensive experience is in the secondary and that shows with their seven interceptions. Prukop hasn’t thrown a pick yet, so one of those trends will have to break.
In Oregon’a first road Game and without much confidence defensively, Nebraska may get most of the money in this Game. But trusting the Huskers for those reasons alone hasn’t gotten bettors many places in recent years. Last season, Nebraska lost more Games at home than won.
Our Pick – Last team with the ball wins? That’s the type of Game we expect. These teams gave up buckets of points last year and nothing seems to have changed defensively for either squad. We’re going to side with the vistors plus the small spot here in a Game that either team could win. Oregon +3