Purdue – Maryland NCAAF Game Preview and Pick to Cover the Spread

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Purdue

vs.

Maryland

Big 10

College Football Pick

10/1/16

By Jason Green

Maryland is 3-0 and while they have not played a tough Schedule their last 2 Games have been on the road. They have a pretty good defense, but where Purdue will have their hands full is facing a Terrapins rushing offense that ranks 11th in the nation averaging 266.7 rushing yards per Game.

Purdue won last week against Nevada even though they turned the ball over 4 times. In their last 2 Games they have 9 turnovers and if they turn the ball over repeatedly facing Maryland in their house things may get ugly and my may I mean will.

In their last Game Purdue was at home and beat Nevada 24-14 covering the spread as a 3.5-point favorite. Maryland won in OT in their last Game facing Central Florida on the road where they failed to cover as a 10.5-point favorite.

Purdue has only won 2 of their last 24 Big 10 Games.

Maryland did not have a problem in their first 2 Games outscoring opponents 93-27, but had a tougher test in the win over UCF. In that gave their defense did come up with 4 turnovers, but they gave up 455 yards of total offense. Purdue is led by their passing offense and QB David Blough, who does have 946 passing yards with 5 TD and 2 targets that have at least 226 receiving yards, he also has 7 INT.

Boilermakers’ RB Markell Jones (316 rushing yards) is THE guy in the backfield and in 2 of 3 Games he has rushed for at least 124 yards.

Maryland has a defense that ranks 52nd in the nation against the pass and 68th against the run.

Purdue’s weakness on defense so far on the season is against the run, which is not good since Maryland has a loaded backfield with the trio of Lorenzo Harrison, Trey Edmunds, and Ty Johnson, who have combined for 557 rushing yards and each is averaging over 6 yards per carry.

Purdue is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 road Games and they are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 Games facing a team with a winning record.

Maryland is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 Games facing a winning record and they are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 Big 10 Games.

Jason’s Pick: Purdue +10.5