Arizona State looked like a top-25 team and then it fell at San Diego State over the weekend. Still, this is a different Sun Devils team than previous seasons, though that’s not seen in the spread against Washington. The Huskies were large -17.5 point favorites as of Tuesday with an over/under of 49 at YOUWAGER Sportsbook.
The last time these teams played was one of the biggest upsets of 2017 as ASU won 13-7 at home. The Huskies couldn’t get anything going offensively as Jake Browning had 139 yards on 30 pass attempts and they ran for only 2.9 yards per carry. There’s some revenge factor in this Game, but it’s not like Washington is blowing away teams. It lost to Auburn in the opener and battled 21-7 against Utah last weekend.
It’s looking like another disappointing season for Jake Browning, who already has Four interceptions after just five all of last year. since losing wide receiver John Brown, he hasn’t been close to producing the 43 touchdowns he had in 2016 and this year looks more of the same. If the Huskies are going to cover, Myles Gaskin needs a huge Game and while that’s possible, he did struggle against this defense last year. Then you throw in ASU’s defense, which looks improved and is only allowing 3.2 yards per carry against decent offenses and there’s reason to believe the Huskies could struggle to move the ball consistently.
The way for Washington to cover is if its defense dominates, but Arizona State has plenty of tools to Scoreat least 10 points and possibly more. Manny Wilkins is an experienced quarterback that has thrown for more than 340 yards in the last two Games and he has one of the best receivers in the nation at his disposal with N’Keal Harry. The running Game is still a problem, though Eno Benjamin is at least going for 4.3 yards per carry, which isn’t far behind last year’s rate.
Defensively, Washington’s numbers don’t stand out, but a lot of that has to do with the Auburn opener. Otherwise, the Huskies have allowed just 10 points in their other two Games and that includedstopping Utah to seven points in Utah last weekend. That said, the Utes probably should’ve scored a few more points after rushing for 4.2 yards per carry. They had three turnovers and that’s something ASU can’t do.
This spread feels large and when you consider how competitive the series has been through the years and how overrated Washington has been, there should be a lot of money on the road team. The Sun Devils have covered in the last eight meetings played in Washington and are 15-2-2 ATS in the last 19 overall. Of course, the favorite is also 9-3 ATS in the last 12. The Sun Devils are also 7-2 ATS in their last nine Conference Games, while the Huskies are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 against the Pac-12. Washington has disappointed as of late at 2-5 ATS in its last seven overall.
Our Pick – Washington -17