Georgia
vs.
Missouri
College Football
Pick
9/22/18
Missouri has kind of gone under the radar quietly winning nine of its last 10 Games with the lone loss coming to Texas in last year’s bowl. Of course, its last regular season loss came against Georgia in a 53-28 shootout. The Bulldogs are on the road this time, yet they already won 41-17 against a solid South Carolina team. Missouri is projected to put up a better fight at home with Georgia opening as -14 point road favorites at YOUWAGER Sportsbook.
The spread feels kind of small mainly because there’s a good chance Georgia drops another 50 points in this matchup. Purdue did whatever it wanted against this Missouri defense last weekend as its quarterback threw for 572 yards. There’s little reason to suggest that the Tigers defense will do more in this matchup after giving up 326 passing yards and 370 rushing yards in last year’s meeting.
The Bulldogs are still the same team and that’s how the first few Games have gone with Jake Fromm having little issues en route to an 80.4% completion percentage on 10.41 yards per attempt. The backfield lost its top two guys yet Elijah Holyfield, D’Andre Swift and James Cook are next in line to be Georgia’s stud running backs. Considering Missouri’s defense is still a major problem, it’d be hard to bet on the home team in this Game. If this Game is somewhat close and Fromm is asked to do a little more (he hasn’t passed more than 18 times in a Game), this offense has the ability to Scorequicker against bad defenses when needed. Either way, Georgia shouldn’t have any problems putting points on the board.
The best way for the Tigers to cover is on the other end and that’s why they covered last year’s 28.5-point spread. Of course, this one is two touchdowns smaller, though it at least comes at home for Missouri. Drew Lock is a future NFL quarterback and has excellent numbers through three Games (11 TDs, 1 INT), but he hasn’t seen anything close to Georgia’s defense. He was great in this meeting last year throwing for Four touchdowns and that came without a running Game, but repeating will be difficult, especially if the Tigers can’t run the ball again. So far that hasn’t been a problem with LArry Rountree at 260 rushing yards, yet facing this Georgia defense will be different. If Rountree doesn’t find room, it will be on Lock to try and put up 30 points on this defense.
Missouri almost won this matchup when these teams met in Columbia two years ago, but this is a much different Georgia team. Betting on the Tigers will take some guts given the performance the defense just had against a winless Purdue team.
The Bulldogs are 7-1 ATS in their last eight Games overall and 19-7 ATS in their last 26 on the road. The Tigers are 5-1 ATS in their last six at home and 9-3 ATS in their last 12 overall. In this matchup, Missouri has covered in Four of the last five, but the road team is 5-1 ATS in the last six.
Our Pick – Missouri +14.5