Oklahoma has had no problem rebounding from its loss to Texas and now gets another mid-tier Texas Tech team that just lost at Iowa State. Still with hopes of the College Football Playoff, the Sooners were -12 point road favorites (opened at 10) with an over/under of 77.5 at YOUWAGER sportsbook.
There have been some fun matchups between these teams throughout the years and this one should look a lot like recent versions where Oklahoma goes off. The Sooners have scored at least 49 points in the last three meetings and only had trouble winning in this spot three years ago because of Patrick Mahomes. Unfortunately for the Red Raiders, their offense isn’t as consistent as the ones led by Mahomes and that’s the main reason they have three losses.
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Still, they’ve been able to put up points with freshman Alan Bowman slinging it around with at least 320 passing yards in Four of his last five Games and the other Game was when he got hurt against West Virginia. The question is whether Bowman can drop 40 points against an Oklahoma defense that has looked somewhat better since losing to Texas. That said, they haven’t played a high-flying offense like Tech’s since that loss so the jury is still out. The Red Raiders moved the ball fine in last year’s matchup, but only scored seven points after the first quarter and that doesn’t cut it against OU. They’ll need to bank on some kind of running Game because without one, it’ll be hard to keep up on the scoreboard.
The Red Raiders have had some good Games defensively, but they were just carved by Iowa State and have given up 40-plus points on a few other occasions. Either way, it’s hard to see them holding Oklahoma to less than 40 points with Kyler Murray throwing it all over the field to Marquise Brown and CeeDee LAmb for 28 touchdowns and only three interceptions to go with 12.73 yards per attempt. The running Game came around against K State last weekend with Kennedy Brooks, T.J. Pledger and Trey Sermon finding holes all Game and that doesn’t include everything Murray did.
The only way Tech has a chance is if its defense shows up like it did in the OK State win when it held the Cowboys to just 17 points. That probably isn’t possible, but keeping OU at 40 points or less is a solid goal and one the Raiders could do. If that’s the case, Bowman could point enough points up to cover, though Oklahoma’s defense is still a question since Mike Stoops was fired.
The Sooners are 2-5 ATS in their last seven road Games, but 13-4 ATS vs. a team with a winning record. The Red Raiders are 2-7 ATS in their last nine home Games vs. a team with a winning road record, but 4-0 ATS in their last Four following an ATS loss. The over is unsurprisingly 6-1 in the last seven meetings and Oklahoma is 1-4 ATS in the last five meetings played at Texas Tech.
Our Pick – Texas Tech +13.5