CFB Pick: Arizona Wildcats vs. New Mexico Lobos-8-31

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Arizona vs. New Mexico CFB Pick ATS
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Arizona Wildcats vs. New Mexico Lobos College Football Game Preview

Date: Saturday, August 31st

Time: 10:30 PM EST

Location: Arizona Stadium, Tucson, Arizona

Betting Line: Arizona -30, Total 54.5  Wagerweb Sportsbook

Arizona Outlook:

The Wildcats are riding high after a remarkable 2023 season, finishing with a 10-3 record and a resounding victory over Oklahoma in the Alamo Bowl. With a significant number of returning starters on both offense and defense, Arizona boasts the potential for another successful campaign. However, the departure of coach Jedd Fisch and the arrival of Brent Brennan introduces a new dynamic that could lead to a transitional period. The transition to the Big 12 conference also presents fresh challenges and opportunities for the Wildcats.

Strengths:

  • Experienced Roster: The Wildcats return a seasoned group, providing stability and continuity on both sides of the ball.
  • Offensive Firepower: Arizona’s offense showed impressive potential last year, and with key players returning, they could be a force to be reckoned with.

Concerns:

  • Coaching Change: The departure of Fisch could lead to some initial growing pains as the team adapts to a new coaching staff and system.
  • Big 12 Transition: Moving to a new conference always presents challenges, and the Wildcats will need to adjust quickly to the different level of competition.

New Mexico Outlook:

The Lobos had their best season since 2016, finishing with a 4-8 record. While this may seem modest, it represents a positive step for a program that had struggled for several years. However, the Lobos face an uphill battle in 2024, with a limited number of returning starters and a new head coach in Bronco Mendenhall. The rebuilding process is underway, but it may take time for the Lobos to become competitive at a high level.

Strengths:

  • Game Experience: The Lobos will have already played a game against Montana State, which could give them an advantage in terms of preparation and cohesiveness.
  • Coaching Change: While a new coach can bring challenges, it can also provide a fresh start and a new sense of optimism for the program.

Concerns:

  • Lack of Experience: The Lobos have a relatively inexperienced roster, which could be a significant disadvantage against a more seasoned opponent.
  • Rebuilding Process: Rebuilding a program takes time, and the Lobos may experience some growing pains as they adjust to a new system and coaching staff.

Prediction:

The data model suggests a dominant win for Arizona, with a projected score of 70-10. While a blowout is possible, New Mexico’s game experience and the potential for early-season adjustments could keep the game closer in the initial stages.

Pick:

  • New Mexico +1st Half
  • New Mexico +1st Quarter

While the overall outcome may favor Arizona, the Lobos could cover the spread in the first half and first quarter, thanks to having a game under their belts and the potential for early-game adjustments by both teams.

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