Houston vs. UNLV: A Clash of New Beginnings and High Expectations
The college football season kicks off with a matchup between Houston and UNLV on August 31st at 7 pm EST. This game presents a fascinating contrast between a Houston team seeking redemption after a disappointing 2023 campaign and a UNLV squad riding the momentum of a surprising 9-5 season.
Houston: A Program in Transition
After a lackluster 4-8 record in their inaugural Big 12 season, Houston aims to turn things around under the guidance of new head coach Willie Fritz. Despite the disappointing results, the Cougars showed flashes of potential, securing victories over Baylor and West Virginia and remaining competitive against tough opponents, including a narrow loss to #8 Texas.
However, with only five returning starters on both offense and defense, Fritz faces a challenging rebuilding process. The Cougars must avoid overlooking UNLV, as a showdown with Oklahoma looms in Week 2.
UNLV: Building on a Breakthrough Season
UNLV defied expectations in 2023, earning a spot in the Mountain West Conference championship game. While they ultimately fell short against Boise State, the Rebels proved they can compete with top-tier teams, even in defeat, with their only lopsided loss coming against eventual national champion Michigan.
Under the leadership of second-year head coach Barry Odom, UNLV returns a limited number of starters, with five on offense and six on defense. Nevertheless, the Rebels aim to build upon their recent success and establish themselves as a consistent contender in the Mountain West.
Predictions and Betting Insights
The early odds favor Houston by 3 points, with the total set at 56.5 at Mybookie and Betonline. However, considering the significant player losses and coaching changes on both sides, this game could be closer than the odds suggest.
Our model based on data from the last seven games of the 2023 season predicts a 31-27 UNLV upset. We think UNLV could be a live dog in this spot getting +3. However, backing the Rebels in the 1st quarter and 1st half may be the way to go in this one.
Expect there to be some initial growing pains for Houston.
Key Factors and Questions
- How quickly can Willie Fritz implement his system and get his new players up to speed?
- Can UNLV maintain their momentum from last season despite losing several key players?
- Will Houston’s offense find its rhythm against a UNLV defense that showed vulnerability in 2023?
- How will the coaching changes impact the game plans and strategies of both teams?
These questions will be answered on the field as Houston and UNLV kick off their seasons with a game that could set the tone for the rest of their campaigns. While Houston enters as the favorite, UNLV’s recent success and potential for growth make them a formidable opponent.
Our Pick: UNLV + 1st hald and UNLV + 1st quarter