College Football Pick ATS: Michigan State vs. Florida Atlantic
Game Details:
- Date: Friday, August 30th
- Time: 7:00 PM EST
- Location: Spartan Stadium, East Lansing, Michigan
- TV: BTN
Betting Lines: Wagerweb Sportsbook
- Spread: Michigan State -11
- Total: 48.5
Coaching Carousel Clash:
The Michigan State Spartans and Florida Atlantic Owls clash in a season opener that features a unique coaching matchup. Both teams have endured recent struggles, and now, they have new leaders at the helm.
Florida Atlantic: Tom Herman’s Second Act:
In his second year at FAU, coach Tom Herman is expected to make significant strides with a team that is more familiar with his schemes and systems. A classic rebuilding scenario suggests that the Owls should be noticeably improved compared to last season.
Michigan State: Jonathan Smith’s Big Ten Debut:
Former Oregon State coach Jonathan Smith has arrived in East Lansing with the mission of revitalizing the Spartans. While Smith’s track record suggests that he can bring the Spartans back to respectability, year one of any rebuild is often accompanied by growing pains.
The X-Factor: Defense:
Both teams boast experienced defenses, with Michigan State returning ten starters and FAU returning eight. This defensive strength could be a crucial factor in a game projected to be a low-scoring affair.
The Talent Gap:
Historically, Michigan State’s superior recruiting advantage over FAU would make them an automatic play. However, the presence of new coaching staffs on both sides adds an element of uncertainty to the game.
The Model’s Prediction:
Our model, based on last season’s data, forecasts a tight, low-scoring 19-17 victory for Michigan State. However, considering the new coaching regimes and the Owls’ potential for early-season sharpness, the game’s trajectory could differ significantly.
Our Picks:
Instead of focusing on the full game, we believe there is value in betting on Florida Atlantic to perform well in the early stages. They may catch Michigan State off-guard as the Spartans work out the kinks in their new system.
- FAU + in the 1st Quarter
- FAU + in the 1st Half
While Michigan State’s overall talent advantage may eventually prevail, FAU could capitalize on their early-season momentum and keep the game close, especially in the initial quarters.