Indiana vs. Ohio State Free CFB Pick : 11-23-24

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Indiana vs. Ohio State CFB Pick ATS
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Undefeated Hoosiers Face Defining Test Against Wounded Buckeyes in Columbus

This Saturday’s noon kickoff at Ohio Stadium is more than just another game for Indiana football. The undefeated Hoosiers (10-0), ranked 5th nationally, travel to Columbus to face the 2nd-ranked Ohio State Buckeyes in a clash that could define their historic season. While our model predicts a 23-12 Ohio State victory, suggesting an UNDER 52 play, we believe Indiana, getting 13.5 points (MyBookie), has a real chance to cover the spread and potentially pull off a monumental upset.

Indiana’s Historic Run:

This is arguably the biggest game in Indiana football history. The Hoosiers have defied expectations, reaching 10-0 for the first time ever and controlling their destiny in the Big Ten. A win over Ohio State would likely cement their place in the College Football Playoff and secure a spot in the Big Ten Championship game.

Ohio State’s Offensive Line Woes:

The Buckeyes have been hit hard by injuries on the offensive line. Starting center Seth McLaughlin is out for the season, and they’ve already lost starting left tackle Josh Simmons. This presents a golden opportunity for Indiana’s ferocious defensive front, led by the nation’s leader in quarterback pressures, Mikail Kamara.

Strength vs. Strength:

Ohio State boasts one of the nation’s top rushing attacks, but they’ll be facing the nation’s best run defense. Indiana’s defense, coordinated by Bryant Haines, has been exceptional all season, allowing just 72.2 rushing yards per game. This matchup in the trenches will be crucial in determining the outcome.

Rourke vs. Howard:

This game features two of the Big Ten’s best quarterbacks. Indiana’s Kurtis Rourke has been incredibly efficient, throwing for 21 touchdowns with just 4 interceptions. Ohio State’s Will Howard has been on fire lately and a big game against the Hoosiers could propel him into the Heisman conversation.

Why Indiana Can Cover:

  • Offensive firepower: Indiana’s offense is capable of putting up points against any defense, and they’ll be well-rested coming off a bye week.
  • Defensive dominance: The Hoosiers’ defense has been stifling all season, and Ohio State’s offensive line injuries could be a major factor.
  • Special season magic: Things tend to go your way when you’re having a special season, and Indiana has that intangible on their side.

The Verdict:

While Ohio State is a formidable opponent, especially at home, Indiana has the talent and the momentum to make this a competitive game. Our model predicts a double-digit Buckeye win, but we like Indiana to cover the 13.5-point spread and potentially keep things closer than expected. This game has all the makings of a classic, and Hoosier fans should be confident that their team will show up and give a good account of themselves on the biggest stage.

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