Michigan vs. Washington CFB Prediction: (10-5-24)

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Michigan vs. Washington Pick ATS
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Huskies Host Wolverines in National Championship Rematch with Big Ten Implications

Husky Stadium in Seattle will be the site of a massive showdown this Saturday night, as the Washington Huskies host the Michigan Wolverines in a rematch of last season’s national championship game. Michigan emerged victorious in that contest, 34-13, but this time around the stakes are different with both teams now competing in the Big Ten conference.

A Clash of Styles and Strengths

Washington enters the game as a 2.5-point favorite (betonline), with the total set at 41.5. The Huskies, led by quarterback Will Rogers, boast an explosive offense that has put up impressive numbers this season. Rogers has been nearly flawless, throwing for 1,354 yards and 10 touchdowns with no interceptions, completing 74.8% of his passes. However, Washington’s offense has struggled with efficiency, ranking near the bottom of college football in yards per point (20.7 ypp). They’ve also shown vulnerability in pass protection, allowing seven sacks this season.

Michigan, on the other hand, has relied on a strong defense and a powerful running game. While their offense has been less explosive, quarterback Alex Orji is coming off a career-best performance with 86 passing yards last week. He adds a dual-threat dimension with 113 rushing yards and three total touchdowns on the season. The Wolverines will be playing their first road game of the season after five consecutive home contests.

Betting Trends and Predictions

Washington has been a strong bet this season, going 3-1 against the spread (ATS) and 4-0 to the under. Michigan, conversely, is 1-4 ATS and 3-2 to the over. Last week’s performance against Rutgers exposed some weaknesses in the Huskies’ run defense, which could be exploited by Michigan’s ground attack.

Our model predicts a tight, low-scoring game. Considering the strong defensive performances from both teams and Michigan’s ability to control the clock with their running game, we like Michigan with the +2.5 points. We also anticipate a defensive battle, leading us to play the under 41.5 total points.

Key Factors to Watch:

  • Michigan’s Road Test: How will Michigan handle their first road environment of the season against a hostile crowd in Seattle?
  • Washington’s Offensive Efficiency: Can the Huskies improve their yards per point and avoid long, drawn-out drives?
  • Turnover Battle: Both quarterbacks have been careful with the ball. Any turnovers could be decisive in a tight game.
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