2024 Recap and Key Metrics
In 2024, the Stanford offense averaged 14.8 yards per point—solid efficiency—while their defense struggled at 11.9 yards per point, indicating opponents scored with ease. The Hawaii offense was less efficient at 17.9 offensive yards per point and a middling 14 defensive yards per point. Our original prediction using data from 2024 had Stanford winning 29-20, reflecting their offensive edge.
Returning Production: Stanford’s Defensive Hope
Transfer Portal Impact: Stanford Gains Ground
Prediction: Stanford 31, Hawaii 18
Factoring in these changes, Stanford’s offense should nudge up to 30-31 points, thanks to a slightly more efficient 14.5 yards per point. Their defense, despite returning talent and transfers, remains a weak spot but might improve to 12.5-13 yards per point, allowing Hawaii 22-24 points. However, Hawaii’s offense, hampered by regression to 18.5 yards per point, drops to 17-18 points, while their defense concedes 30-31. We’re calling it Stanford 31, Hawaii 18—a road win driven by offensive consistency and a slightly less vulnerable defense.
Stanford -2.5