NFL
Week 11
Picks
against the Spread
11/22/15
Panthers -7.5 over Skins – Very tempting to jump on the Skins bandwagon after last weeks point outburst. But that was against the defenseless Saints. This is the undefeated Panthers. Percentages suggest that if you can pick the straight up winner of an NFL Game, you’ll likely get the cover as well. Gotta side with the Panthers.
Raiders +1 over Lions – Perfect spot for the Lions to get back to their losing ways after HUGE upset of Packers last week.
Cowboys -1 over Dolphins – Romo is back and a win keeps the Cowboys mathematically alive for the playoffs.
Colts +4.5 over Falcons – At beginning of year, the Falcons were the talk of the NFL. Now, they have lost 3 of 4 and those were to the Saints, Bucs and 49ers! Colts have won with Hasslebeck.
Rams +3 -120 over Ravens – Ravens one of the worst in turnover margin at -10. Rams own the better defense in this one.
Texans +3 over Jets – Just don’t trust the Jets as a road fav. Texans still alive for playoffs. Tight.
Vikings pk over Packers – Packers on 3 Game losing streak and only managed 16 points against Lions at home. Now they face one of the best defenses in the NFL.
Eagles -5.5 over Bucs – Eagles defensive yards per point number of 17.6 places them 6th overall in the NFL in that category. Lions def ypp number of 12.7 is DEAD LAST in the NFL. That’s enough for us here.
Bears +1.5 over Broncos – This Game comes up as a coin flip sing Our numbers. So, oddsmakers have it right. We’ll side with the home team who also has the better QB at this point.
Bengals +4.5 over Cardinals – Our numbers point towards the Bengals across the board in this one, winning straight up. Huge bouNCeback Game for Cinci if they are indeed for real. This would have to be Our top play of the week in the NFL.
Sea/SF UNDER 40 – Seahawks far from their prime, However, they face the WORST offense in the entire NFL in the 49ers this week. Under seems logical.
KC/SD OVER 45 – Not interested in a side here and frankly, not really interested in the total. Our model suggest this one goes over, so we’ll take a stab at it.