Week 13 NFL Picks
12/6/15
Bears -7.5 over 49ers – 49ers have the worst offensive yards per point number (21.4) in the NFL. Not the type of offense you want to rely on.
Bengals -7.5 over Browns – Browns have a mess on their hands with Manziel situation. Austin Davis gets the start for Cleveland. This is the stretch where the cream rises to the top. Cream = Bengals.
Jags +2.5 over Titans – two bad teams on both sides of the ball. Simply not willing to lay points with the Titans.
Texans +3 over Bills – Both teams in must win situation. Texans have won 4 straight giving up just 6, 6, 17 and 6.
Ravens +3.5 over Dolphins – Two bad teams. Not willing to lay points with either.
Panthers -6.5 over Saints AND OVER 49.5 – Our model has this Game as a major blowout with the Panthers reaching the total all by themselves.
Vikings +2 over Seahawks – The Vikings yards per point number on defense of 19 is 3rd best in the NFL. That and the home field is the differeNCe in this one.
Cardinals -4.5 over Rams – The Cards offense decides this one. As does the Rams LACK of one.
Bucs pk over Falcons – Using full season data, Our model says it’s a toss up. However, using only the last 7 Games, it comes up all Bucs. A case of going with the better team RIGHT NOW.
Jets -2 over Giants – No real opinion here but Our model likes the Jets. So, we’ll ride the model.
Broncos -3.5 over Chargers – Shouldn’t matter who’s behind center for the Broncos as their defense should be the differeNCe in this one.
Chiefs -3 over Raiders – Our numbers have the Chiefs by 10+ so we’ll lay the small spot on the road.
Patriots -8.5 over Eagles – Let’s see…..the Eagles have given up 45 points two Games in a row, to the Bucs and Lions while the Pats are in a nasty mood in off their 1st loss. No brainer.
Colts +7.5 over Steelers – Colts have won 3 in a row and are suddenly in the mix, without LUck no less AND their Schedule the rest of the way is cooperative.