Week 2 NFL Picks

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Week Two

NFL Free

Picks and Analysis

9/20/15

 

We prefer to wait until week 5 before we get involved with the NFL in any serious way. However, in the spirit of the new NFL season, we’ll go Game by Game and offer an opinion on each.

 

Texans +3 over Panthers – Like the move from Hoyer to Mallett. In a Game that figures to see both defenses shine, we prefer to be taking points.

 

Bucs +10 over Saints – HUGE QB mismatch here which will be enough for a Saints win. However, laying double digits in week 2 in the NFL isn’t advised. Saints lines continue to be iNFLAted as a result of who they USED to be.

 

Steelers -6 over 49ers – 49ers appear headed in the wrong direction PLUS they have to travel cross country after playing Monday Night while the Steelers have had 10 days rest. If we used only the last 7 Games worth of data going back to last season, Our model has the Steelers on top by two TD’s.

 

Lions +2.5 over Vikings – Vikings in off a 3 point offensive effort going up against a Lions offense that has no trouble finding the end zone. Feeling here is the Lions are the better team.

 

Patriots -1 over Bills – Hate to be on the same side as the masses as 70 of the wagers coming in on this one are on the Pats, but those 70% may be right. Andrew LUck came up short last week but he doesn’t have the supporting cast Brady does. Prefer Tom Brady over Tyrod Taylor.

 

Cardinals -1 over Bears – Simply feel the Cards are the better team in this match up and at -1, we’re simply being asked to pick a straight up winner.

 

Browns +2 over Titans – Classic case of the public overreacting to last weeks results as the Browns fumbles and bumbles to a loss in New York while the Titans looked like Super Bowl Contenders. As a result, 85% of the wagers being taken here are on the Titans. What usually happens in these scenarios? The team drawing the 15% of the action wins!

 

Bengals -3 over Chargers – Two teams in off spectacular week one results should make this one of the better Games of the week. It’s a rematch of a 2014 playoff Game that saw the Chargers come away with a win. This time around, we’ll side with Cinci and the home field edge.

 

Rams -3.5 over Redskins – Really like Kirk Cousins at QB for the Skins. But like Nick Foles behind center in St Louis even more. Rams better on BOTH sides of the ball.

 

Giants -2.5 over Falcons – Extemely important for the Giants to pick themselves up off the floor after last weeks disastor in Dallas. Failing to do so could result in the season getting away. They get it dome at home here, as they did a year ago in the same spot.

 

Ravens -6 over Raiders – Only way to go after each teams openers.

 

Jags +6 over Dolphins – Very weak call here simply going against the public who is all over the Dolphins.

 

Cowboys +4,5 over Eagles – In Games that could go either way, we’ll fare better in the long run if we’re taking rather than laying, which is what we’ll do here.

 

Packers -3.5 over Seahawks – We’re not big on revenge Games in the NFL. Revenge is an angle that simply works better in with college kids. However, this is a spot where it could work in the NFL as the Packers desperately want this one after dropping two to Seattle a year ago. A win here could be a defining moment for the 2015 Pack.

 

 

 

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