Week 3
NFL Free Picks
With Analysis
9/27/15
Here we take a look at the Week 3 NFL matchups with a prediction on each Game. We’d like to remind you that Our methods require at least 4 weeks of data before we can have full confideNCe in Our approach. Early season picks combine observations from the first couple of weeks along with results from a year ago.
Rams +1.5 over Steelers – 85% of the wagers taken on this Game have come in on the Steelers yet the line as moved the OTHER way. Generally a good sign that the “sharp” action is on the Rams.
Chargers/Vikings UNDER 44.5 – Heavy doses of Adrian Peterson may be enough to keep this one under the total.
Texans -6.5 over Bucs – As long as the number is reasonable we’re ready to bet against Winston over and over again this year. Each week he’ll be seeing things from NFL defenses he’s never seen before and should find the going quite difficult week in and week out. (true for any rookie QB).
Jets/Eagles UNDER 45.5 – Jets defense has given up 10 and 7 points in their two Games thus far while the Eagles offense can’t seem to get on track. More of the same here.
Panthers over Saints – This Game off the board in most spots due to the status of Drew Brees. Might not matther whether he plays or not though. Saints on the way down, Willing to lay -3.
Jags +13.5 over Pats – Pats seem content to simply out Scoreopponents this year. That gets the “W” and gets them where they want to go, however it also leaves the back door open when laying double digits.
BeGAls +2.5 over Ravens – Many are suggesting it’s do or die already for the 0-2 Ravens. Perhaps. But the same can be said for the Bengals in general. Another one and done playoff appearaNCe this year simply won’t cut it and while it’s still early, no better way to kickstart the 2015-2016 season than by putting a few nails in a division rivals coffin.
Raiders +4 over Browns – Not ready to lay points with the Browns. This one figures to be a tight Game that goes to the wire, in which case, the +4 could loom large.
Colts -3 over Titans – Mariota certainly provong his worth thus far and by the looks of it, will be a super star in this league for many years to come. BUT, there HAS to be growing pains, so why not this week.
Cowboys +1 over Falcons – No Romo, so, Falcs favored and 78% of the action on this one is coming in on Atlanta. But football is played by 11 guys on each side of the line, not 1, and often times the loss of a starting QB creates tremendous value.
Cardinals -6.5 over 49ers – A year ago the Cards won 23-14 at home and lost by a FG at SF. This would appear to be a case of two teams heading in opposite directions so we’ll call for a repeat of last years results in Arizona. Not crazy about laying almost a TD but think Arizona is the side here.
Bears +14.5 over Seahawks – Taking more than two TD’s in an NFL Game is pretty much an automatic for us. Like it even more due to the fact that there’s one way action on the Seahawks and the line has moved the OTHER way.
Bills +3 over Dolphins – We didn’t buy in like the rest of the world on the Bills last week. But we’ll bite here. Bills own the better defense and the better running Game and face a Dolphins offense who can’t get going.
Lions +3 over Broncos – Another spot where we’ll go against the public, who LOVES to bet on Peyton Manning. This Lions team was an 11-5 playoff team a year ago and now faces the possibility of an 0-3 start. Expect their top effort of the year Sunday and a home win.