By: Jason Green
Kansas City Chiefs (11-3 SU 8-5-1 ATS) vs. Seattle Seahawks (8-6 SU 8-4-2 ATS)
The Chiefs are coming off a tough home loss against the L.A. Chargers and they are now tied with them atop the AFC West. They still have the #1 seed in the AFC, but they can fall down to a Wild Card if they do not win the division. Pat Mahomes is still the front-runner for the MVP race and KC has the top-ranked offense in the league, but their defense ranks 2nd to last in the NFL.
The Seahawks had their Four-Game win streak snapped in their last Game and they can wrap up a playoff berth with a win in this Game. They played a sloppy Game in their last one in a 26-23 OT loss to the San Francisco 49ers where they had 14 penalties for 148 yards. Seattle is a run first team and while they are known for their D they only rank 19th on the season in overall defense.
The Chiefs are a 2.5-point road favorite with a total of 53.5.
This season the Chiefs are 8-5-1 ATS with an O/U record of 9-4-1 and the Seahawks are 8-4-2 ATS with an O/U record of 7-7.
These teams have not met since the 2014 season.
The Chiefs are 7-1 ATS in their last eight Games facing the Seahawks.
The Chiefs were at home in their last Game losing to the L.A. Chargers giving up a two-point conversion with seconds left. They were outGAined 407 yards to 294 yards and only had 60 rushing yards. KC’s defense has not looked good in the last few Games and Mahomes and company may have to light up the scoreboard to compensate for their struggling defense.
Mahomes passed for 243 yards with two TD and no INT in the loss to the Chargers and he has no lack of great weapons with the likes of Travis Kelse and Tyreek Hill. Damien Williams led the Chiefs with 49 rushing yards, but the team still misses Kareem Hunt, who was released a few weeks back. Mahomes has eight TD and only one INT in his last three Games, but in this Game, could use some help on D and from the run Game.
Seattle ranks 20th in the league defending the pass and 15th defending the run.
In their last Game, the Seahawks were on the road and lost to the San Francisco 49ers 26-23 in OT. They lost the Game even though they outGAined the 49ers 385 yards to 351 yards, outGAined them on the ground 168 rushing yards to 94 rushing yards, and converted nine of their 19 3rd downs. On top of that they also forced the Game’s only turnover.
Russell Wilson passed for 237 yards with two TD and no INT and Doug Baldwin and Mike Davis combined for 140 receiving yards. Chris Carson rushed for 119 yards to lead Seattle and he had a TD and averaged 5.4 yards per carry. Carson has rushed for 219 yards in his last two Games and Wilson has 10 TD and only one pick in his last five Games. They will be facing a KC defense that ranks dead last in the league against the pass and 26th against the run.
Chiefs ATS Trends
0-4-1 ATS in their last 5 Games
2-5-1 ATS in their last 8 Games after an ATS loss
Over record of 4-0 in their last 4 Games
Seahawks ATS Trends
4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 home Games
4-1 ATS in their last 5 Games facing a team with a winning record
4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 Games
Jason’s Pick: The Chiefs have not been impressive in their last three Games, but will be in this one. With the Chargers right on their heels KC will get it done by scoring many points in this Game. This Game in the Great Northwest will be a shootout, but the Chiefs will come out on top with the win and they will cover the spread.