Dallas Cowboys
vs.
Washington Redskins
Week 7
NFL Pick
10/21/2018
By: Jason Green
Dallas Cowboys (3-3 SU 3-3 ATS) vs. Washington Redskins (3-2 SU 3-2 ATS)
The Cowboys moved to .500 on the season in their last Game and while their offense has taken a lot of heat they put up 40 points beating the Jacksonville Jaguars 40-7. They are tied with the Philadelphia Eagles in 2nd place in the NFC East only a half Game back of the Redskins. While Dallas has won two of their last three Games and they rank 2nd in the league in points allowed per Game (17.2 ppg) they have not beaten a team this season that currently has a winning record.
The Redskins escaped with a win in their last Game beating the Carolina Panthers 23-17. I say escaped, as they took advantage of three early turnovers to get an early 17-0 lead and held on stopping the Panthers on downs late in the Game while Carolina was driving for a Game-winning TD. Washington looks to break their streak of following up a win with a bad Game, which they have done after their first two wins. The Skins are led by a solid defense that ranks 8th in the league in points allowed.
At YOUWAGER sportsbook the Redskins are a 1.5-point home favorite with a total sitting at 41.5.
This season the Cowboys are 3-3 ATS with an O/U record of 2-4 and the Redskins are 3-2 ATS with an O/U record of 2-3.
Last season the Cowboys won both Games against the Redskins handily and they have won their last Four Games against them.
The Cowboys have covered the spread in their last Four Games facing the Redskins in Washington.
In their 40-7 dominating win over the Jaguars in their last Game they held the Jags to only 204 total yards and they forced the Games only turnovers. Dallas was up 24-0 at the half and in the Game they rushed for 206 yards. Their big gun is Ezekiel Elliot, who ranks 2nd in the league in rushing yards and has rushed for at least 106 yards in three of his last Four Games. Dak Prescott passed for 183 yards with two TD and no INT in the win over Jax and with one of the weakest WR corps in the league the Cowboys have to run the ball.
America’s Team will be facing a Washington run defense that ranks a legit 8th in the league and last week only GAve up 81 rushing yards to a Panthers team that 4th in the league in rushing yards per Game.
In the win over the Panthers in their last Game the Redskins had fewer yards (350 to 288), but they forced three turnovers and did not commit any and also rushed for 132 yards. Alex Smith passed for 163 yards with two TD and no picks and Adrian Peterson rushed for 97 yards averaging a solid 5.7 yards per carry.
Dallas has a very solid and balanced defense that ranks 8th in the league against the pass and 7th against the run.
Key Betting Trends
Cowboys
4-10 ATS in their last 14 Games facing a team with a winning record
4-0 ATS in their last 4 Games facing teams from the NFC East
Under record of 12-3 in their last 15 Games
Redskins
5-1 ATS in their last 6 home Games
1-7 ATS in their last 8 Games after a win
Under record of 5-1 in their last 6 home Games
Jason’s Pick: You can see the Redskins have not been able to build on wins, as they are 1-7 ATS in their last eight Games following a win. And while they are also 0-4 ATS in their last Four home Games facing the Cowboys both of those trends will not continue. Washington will have a balanced Game on offense and while they will not stuff the run they will keep Elliot from having a big Game. The Skins will get the win and cover the spread staying in first place in the NFC East and will snap their Four-Game losing streak against the Cowboys.