Eagles – Redskins NFL Pick against the Spread

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Philadelphia Eagles

vs.

Washington Redskins 

NFL Pick

ATS Trends

12/30/2018  

By: Jason Green 

  

Philadelphia Eagles (8-7 SU 6-9 ATS) vs. Washington Redskins (7-8 SU 9-6 ATS) 

The Eagles saved their season with a big home win over the Houston Texans in their last Game. However, for them to make the playoffs they need to beat the Redskins and have the Minnesota Vikings lose to the Chicago Bears. The Eagles have won two in a row and Four of their last five Games and like last season backup QB Nick Foles has come to the rescue. He has played well since taking over for Carson Wentz, but Philly does not have the playoff fate in their hands. 

While the Eagles are coming off win to keep their playoff hopes alive the Redskins are coming off a loss that eliminated them from the playoffs. They played a close Game with the Tennessee Titans where they led most of the way, but their 4th QB this season in Josh Johnson was picked off late to seal the Skins loss. Washington only has one win in their last six Games and injuries have killed them this season. However, they are at home in the finale and can knock Philly out of the playoff race with a W. 

The Eagles are a 6.5-point road favorite with a total of 41.5.  

This season the Eagles are 6-9 ATS with an O/U record of 7-8 and the Redskins are 9-6 ATS with an O/U record of 7-8. 

Earlier this season in Philadelphia the Eagles beat the Redskins 28-13. 

The favorite is 4-0 ATS in the last Four Games between these teams. 

The Eagles were at home in their last Game and beat the Houston Texans 32-30 kicking the Game-winning field goal as time expired. They only rushed for 57 yards and had three turnovers while only committing one, but outGAined the Texans 519 yards to 371 yards. 

Foles had a HUGE Game passing for 471 yards with Four TD and one INT and Nelson Agholor and Zach Ertz each had at least 110 receiving yards. Darren Sproles led the team with only 32 rushing yards and Josh Adams only rushed for 21 yards on 11 carries and lost a fumble. The Eagles will be facing a Washington defense that was not bad in their last Game holding the Tennessee Titans to under 300 yards and on the season, they rank 14th in the league defending the pass and 17th defending the run. 

In their last Game, the Redskins were on the road and lost to the Tennessee Titans 25-16. They outGAined the Titans 292 yards to 291 yards, but GAve up 16 points in the 4th quarter with the last TD they GAve up a pick-6 as time expired. Josh Johnson was solid for most of the Game, but he made a bad pass and was picked off very late and then picked again with Washington going for a desperation play with only a few seconds left. For the Game, he passed for 153 yards with a TD and Adrian Peterson had a great Game rushing for 116 yards and averaged 4.6 yards per carry. Peterson will be key in this Game and the last time he faced the Eagles in a Washington loss he rushed for 98 yards with 90 of those yards coming on one long TD run. 

This season Philadelphia ranks dead last in the league in pass defense and 7th in run defense. 

 

Eagles ATS Trends

2-5 ATS in their last 7 Games facing a team with a losing record 

2-5 ATS in their last 7 Games after a loss

1-4 ATS in their last 5 Games after an ATS loss

Over record of 36-15 in their last 51 Games 

 

Redskins ATS Trends

7-3 ATS in their last 10 home Games

4-1 ATS in their last 5 Games facing a team with a winning record 

Under record of 8-3 in their last 11 Games after a loss 

 

Jason’s Pick: The Redskins were solid in their last Game until the end and they will play well in this Game at home in the season finale. Peterson will play well as will the Skins’ defense and while Washington may not win they will cover the spread at home.