Giants – 49ers Free Pick against the Spread

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New York Giants

vs.

San Francisco 49ers 

NFL Pick

ATS Trends

11/12/2018  

By: Jason Green 

  

New York Giants (1-7 SU 3-5 ATS) vs. San Francisco 49ers (2-7 SU 3-6 ATS)

 

The Giants have lost five in a row and one of their bright spots came last week because they did not play having a bye. They are in the basement of the NFC East and they have struggled on both sides of the ball. They rank 2nd to last in the league in rushing yards per Game and Eli Manning has five interceptions in his last Four Games. 

The 49ers snapped their six-Game skid in their last Game in a 34-3 blowout win over the Oakland Raiders. Nick Mullins will get another start under center and he had one of the best statistical Games for a debut in the win over Oakland. San Fran played great defense in the win over the Raiders and that has been their main issue on the season only ranking 24th giving up an average of 26.6 ppg. 

At YOUWAGER sportsbook the 49ers are a 3-point home favorite with a total of 43.5. 

This season the Giants are 3-5 ATS with an O/U record of 3-5 and the 49ers are 3-6 ATS with an O/U record of 5-4. 

These teams met last season in San Francisco where the 49ers beat the Giants 31-21. 

The road team is 4-1 ATS in the last five Games between these teams. 

In their last Game before their bye last week they were at home and lost to the Washington Redskins 20-13. The run Game killed New York, as they GAve up 182 rushing yards while they only rushed for 37 yards. 

Manning passed for 316 yards in the loss to Washington and had a TD, but was also picked off twice. Odell Beckham Jr. had a big Game with 136 receiving yards, but rookie RB Saquon Barkley only rushed for 38 yards averaging a paltry 2,9 yards per carry. He has failed to rush for over 48 yards in Four of his last five Games iNCluding his last two where he only averaged 2.9 yards per carry and 3.1 yards per carry respectively. 

The 49ers rank 12th in the league in run defense and 17th in pass defense and in their win in this Game they only GAve up 242 total yards. 

Mullins had a stellar career debut in the win over the Raiders going 16/22 for 262 yards with three TD and no INT and he was not sacked oNCe. George Kittle led the team with 102 receiving yards Raheem Mostert led the team with 86 yards most of them coming on a 52-yard TD run. Matt Breida leads the 49ers in rushing yards, but only had 44 in the loss to the Raiders and in his last three Games he has only rushed for a total of 101 yards and has failed to coverage over 3.7 yards per carry. The Giants rank in the middle of the pack in terms of pass defense, but their run defense only ranks 23rd in the league. 

 

Key Betting Trends 

Giants

7-2 ATS in their last 9 Games after an ATS loss

1-4 ATS in their last 5 Games after a bye week

Under record of 11-4 in their last 15 Games 

 

49ers   

5-14 ATS in their last 19 home Games 

26-6 ATS in their last 32 Monday Night Games

Over record of 4-0 in their last 4 Games after a win 

 

Jason’s Pick: The Giants are a mess, Manning has struggled all season, and Barkley has not played well in the last two Games. The 49ers have also had a season to forget, but got a bright spot in their last Game with the play of Mullins. He will have another good Game and the 49ers will win their 2nd in a row, as well as covering the spread, and they will hand the Giants their 6th straight loss. 

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