Giants – Colts Free Pick against the Spread

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New York Giants


Indianapolis Colts  

ATS Trends

NFL Pick


By: Jason Green 


The Giants had won two in a row before their last Game where they were shut out losing to the Tennessee Titans 17-0. They could not spoil the Titans playoff chances, but they have a chance to do so in this Game, but they face a Colts team at home that is coming off s shutout win over the Dallas Cowboys. Rookie RB Saquon Barkley had been playing great before he was stuffed in the loss to the Titans and he will need to run the rock well in this Game for the G-Men to leave Indy with a W. 

The Colts are coming off a more than solid 23-0 win over the Dallas Cowboys in their last Game. They faced the league’s leading rusher Ezekiel Elliot in the Game holding him to 87 rushing yards and if they can contain Barkley they will be in good shape. Indianapolis has won two in a row and seven of their last eight Games and in their last two Games they have totaled 65 points. 

The Colts are with the Baltimore Ravens and Titans, who they face on the road in their finale, at 8-6, but Baltimore currently holds the #6 seed in the AFC playoffs because of tiebreakers, so this Game is a must win for the Colts. 

New York Giants (5-9 SU 7-6-1 ATS) vs. Indianapolis Colts (8-6 SU 7-6-1 ATS) 

The Colts are a 9.5-point home favorite with a total of 46.5.  

This season the Giants are 7-6-1 ATS with an O/U record of 7-7 and the Colts are 7-6-1 ATS with an O/U record of 6-8. 

These teams have not met since the 2014 season. 

The Colts are 4-1 ATS in their last five Games facing the Giants. 

In their last Game, the Giants were at home and they lost to the Tennessee Titans 17-0. The Giants were outGAined 301 yards to 260 yards and while they did not give up much in the air they GAve up 215 rushing yards while they only had 47 rushing yards. It did not help New York’s cause that they had two turnovers and did not commit any. 

Eli Manning passed for 229 yards with no TD and an INT and was sacked three times. Evan Engram led the G-Men with 75 receiving yards and Barkley was held to 31 rushing yards averaging a weak 2.2 yards per carry. He ranks 3rd in the league in rushing yards and had rushed for over 100 yards in Four straight Games before failing to do so in the bad shutout loss to Tennessee. 

Barkley will be facing the strength of the Indy D, which is against the run ranking 8th in the league while the Colts’ pass defense ranks 15th. 

The Colts were at home in their last Game serving bagels beating the Dallas Cowboys 23-0. They outGAined America’s Team 370 yards to 292 yards holding them to 112 rushing yards while they had more balaNCe with 178 rushing yards and 192 passing yards. 

Andrew LUck passed for 192 yards with no TD and no INT and was not sacked oNCe and T.Y. Hilton led the Colts with 85 receiving yards. Marlon MACk was the player of the Game on the offensive side of the football rushing for 139 yards and two TD. Indy has won all three Games on the season where MACk has rushed for over 100 yards. 

LUck and company will be up against a Giants defense that ranks 14th in the league against the pass and 28th against the run. 


Giants ATS Trends

6-0 ATS in their last 6 road Games 

4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 Games 

Under record of 11-5 in their last 16 Games facing a team with a winning record 


Colts ATS Trends

3-1-1 ATS in their last 5 home Games

5-2-1 ATS in their last 8 Games 

Under record of 5-0 in their last 5 Games 


Jason’s Pick: The Giants were shut out at home in their last Game facing the Titans from the AFC South and facing the Colts from the same division they will not fare well. Barkley may have a better Game, but the Indy D will keep him from having a big Game. LUck and MACk will play well in this must-win Game and at home the Colts will win and cover keeping their playoff hopes alive.