San Francisco 49ers
By: Jason Green
Oakland Raiders (1-6 SU 2-5 ATS) vs. San Francisco 49ers (1-7 SU 2-6 ATS)
This Game is for bragging rights for the Bay Area and the winner will have that in what has been a disappointing season for each team. The Raiders have, especially, been disappointing after brining back head coach Jon Gruden. However, the team has struggled on both sides of the ball and they do not rank in the top 25 in the league in points per Game or points against. Oakland has lost three in a row where they have lost by an average of 18 ppg.
The 49ers have lost six in a row and with their last loss to the Arizona Cardinals they dropped to the basement of the NFC West. San Fran has also struggled on both sides of the ball and their season has been lost for some time after new fraNChise QB Jimmy GAroppolo went down with a season-ending knee injury.
At 5Dimes sportsbook the 49ers are a 3-point home favorite with a total sitting at 47.5.
This season the Raiders are 2-5 ATS with an O/U record of 3-4 and the 49ers are 2-6 ATS with an O/U record of 5-3.
These teams not met since the 2014 season.
In their last Game, the Raiders were at home and did not have the best defensive effort in a 42-28 loss to the Indianapolis Colts. Oakland had a 28-21 lead after three quarters, but were outscored 21-0 in the 4th quarter. They were outGAined 461 yards to 347 yards, were torched on the ground giving up 222 rushing yards, and committed the Games only turnover.
Derek Carr passed for 244 yards with three TD and no INT and he spread the wealth with Four different players having at least 39 receiving yards. The team traded away Amari Cooper and with season the team is having Gruden will likely make more moves. Doug Martin rushed for 17 yards averaging 5.5 yards per carry.
Carr’s job security may be in jeopardy, but at least in this Game he will be facing a 49ers team, whose weakness on defense is defending the pass.
The 49ers were on the road in their last Game where they lost to the Arizona Cardinals 18-15. They played solid defense for three quarters only allowing three points, but were outscored 15-3 in the 4th quarter. San Francisco only had 267 total yards in the Game, giving up 321, and they lost even though they forced two turnovers and did not commit any.
C.J. Beathard passed for 190 yards with a TD and no INT and three players had at least 55 receiving yards. Matt Breida led the team with 42 rushing yards and only averaged 2.6 yards per carry. He is dealing with an ankle injury and has struggled, big time, in the last couple of Games, but at least he will face an Oakland defense that ranks dead last in the league against the run.
Key Betting Trends
1-4 ATS in their last 5 Games
2-7-1 ATS in their last 10 road Games
Under record of 5-1 in their last 6 road Games
1-5 ATS in their last 6 home Games
2-6 ATS in their last 8 Games overall
2-6 ATS in their last 8 Thursday Games
Over record of 4-1 in their last 5 Games
Jason’s Pick: Taking the 49ers in this one at home, as they will lean heavily on the run and Breida will snap out of his slump facing a bad Oakland run defense. This Game will not see a lot of defense and will be a high scoring one where the 49ers will double their season win total with a W and they will also cover.