L.A. Rams
vs.
Detroit Lions
NFL Pick
ATS Trends
12/2/2018
By: Jason Green
L.A. Rams (10-1 SU 4-6-1 ATS) vs. Detroit Lions (4-7 SU 6-5 ATS)
The Rams are coming off a bye and they won a big-time 54-51 shootout with the Kansas City Chiefs in their last Game. They have won two in a row since drooping their only Game of the season facing the Saints, who also have one loss. L.A. has one of the best offenses in the league led by Jared Goff and Todd Gurley in the backfield, but they have allowed 42.3 ppg in their last three Games.
The Lions have lost Four of their last five Games and it looks like they will need to run the table to have any chance to make the playoffs. Yeah, not an easy task, especially facing the Rams at home where they are nearly a double-digit underdog. Detroit had a chance in their last Game facing the NFC North leading Chicago Bears, but they had two INT in the 4th quarter, which sealed their fate.
At YOUWAGER sportsbook the Rams are a 9.5-point road favorite with a total of 54.5.
This season the Rams are 4-6-1 ATS with an O/U record of 6-5 and the Lions are 6-5 ATS with an O/U record of 6-5.
These teams last met in the 2016 season.
The home team is 5-2 ATS in the last seven Games between these teams.
The Rams are coming off their 54-51 win over the Kansas City Chiefs last Monday night in what many have called the best regular season Game ever. While the rams had nearly 100 fewer yards they forced five turnovers and committed two and that was the key in the shootout.
Goff passed for 413 yards facing KC with Four TD and no INT and Brandon Cooks led the team with 107 receiving yards and three other players had at least 63 receiving yards. Gurley rushed for 55 yards on 12 carries and also had three catches for 39 yards. The Lions rank in the middle of the pack in both pass and run defense, but that may not cut it facing a Rams team that can move the chains on the ground and in the air.
The Lions were at home and Thanksgiving and lost to the Chicago Bears 23-16. Lions had more yards (333-264) and they stuffed the run holding Chicago to only 38 rushing yards, but their two 4th quarter interceptions really hurt.
Matthew Stafford passed for 236 yards with no TD and had two INT and Kenny Golladay was his main target with 90 receiving yards. LeGArrette Blount rushed for 88 yards with two TD and averaged 4.6 yards per carry and the Lions have to run the ball in this Game to keep L.A.’s offense on the sidelines.
The Rams rank 19th in the league defending the run and 21st defending the pass and their D has not been great in the last few Games. If they struggle again the Lions will have a chance, but they have to avoid the turnover.
Key ATS Trends
Rams ATS Trends
0-3-1 ATS in their last 4 Games
1-5-1 ATS in their last 7 Games after a win
Over record of 9-4 in their last 13 road Games
Lions ATS Trends
1-4 ATS in their last 5 Games
4-11 ATS in their last 15 Games facing a team with a winning record
Under record if 4-1 in their last 5 Games
Jason’s Pick: The Rams have only one loss and they have won two in a row, but they have not been a good betting team on the season. The Lions are at home and in desperation mode, as they have to win to keep their more than slim playoff hopes alive. The Rams will win this Game, but they will not blow out the Lions, who will cover the big spread at home.