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Ohio State will host Michigan State in Big 10 college hoops action tonight. The Buckeyes are favored by 6 with a total of 139 at betonline.
Below we’ll list the head to head history between these two teams as well as a set of predictions from our model using different time frame parameters.
head-to-head history (lined games):
2/25/2021 Ohio State 67 - 4.0 at Michigan State 71
1/31/2021 Michigan State 62 + 6.0 at Ohio State 79
3/ 8/2020 Ohio State 69 + 7.0 at Michigan State 80
3/15/2019 Ohio State 70 +10.5 vs Michigan State 77
2/17/2019 Ohio State 44 +12.0 at Michigan State 62
1/ 5/2019 Michigan State 86 - 2.0 at Ohio State 77
1/ 7/2018 Michigan State 64 - 6.5 at Ohio State 80
2/14/2017 Ohio State 66 + 7.0 at Michigan State 74
1/15/2017 Michigan State 67 + 2.5 at Ohio State 72
3/11/2016 Ohio State 54 +13.0 vs Michigan State 81
3/ 5/2016 Ohio State 76 +14.5 at Michigan State 91
2/23/2016 Michigan State 81 - 6.0 at Ohio State 62
3/13/2015 Ohio State 67 + 1.5 vs Michigan State 76
2/14/2015 Ohio State 56 + 2.5 at Michigan State 59
3/ 9/2014 Michigan State 67 + 3.5 at Ohio State 69
1/ 7/2014 Ohio State 68 + 5.5 at Michigan State 72
3/16/2013 Ohio State 61 - 1.5 vs Michigan State 58
2/24/2013 Michigan State 60 + 3.0 at Ohio State 68
1/19/2013 Ohio State 56 + 2.0 at Michigan State 59
3/11/2012 Ohio State 64 - 2.0 vs Michigan State 68
3/ 4/2012 Ohio State 72 + 2.5 at Michigan State 70
2/11/2012 Michigan State 58 + 9.0 at Ohio State 48
2/15/2011 Michigan State 61 +12.5 at Ohio State 71
2/21/2010 Ohio State 74 + 3.0 at Michigan State 67
3/14/2009 Ohio State 82 + 8.0 vs Michigan State 70
1/25/2009 Michigan State 78 - 2.5 at Ohio State 67
1/ 6/2009 Ohio State 58 +10.0 at Michigan State 67
3/14/2008 Ohio State 60 + 4.5 vs Michigan State 67
3/ 9/2008 Michigan State 54 + 1.0 at Ohio State 63
1/15/2008 Ohio State 60 + 7.5 at Michigan State 66
2/ 3/2007 Ohio State 63 - 2.0 at Michigan State 54
1/27/2007 Michigan State 64 + 8.5 at Ohio State 66
2/22/2006 Ohio State 79 + 5.0 at Michigan State 68
1/15/2006 Michigan State 62 + 4.5 at Ohio State 59
2/ 9/2005 Ohio State 69 +11.0 at Michigan State 83
2/ 7/2004 Michigan State 84 - 5.0 at Ohio State 70
3/15/2003 Ohio State 55 + 5.5 vs Michigan State 54
3/ 8/2003 Michigan State 72 - 1.0 at Ohio State 58
1/ 9/2003 Ohio State 55 +10.5 at Michigan State 66
2/26/2002 Michigan State 81 + 6.0 at Ohio State 76
2/10/2002 Ohio State 64 + 3.0 at Michigan State 67
1/27/2001 Michigan State 55 - 6.5 at Ohio State 64
1/21/2001 Ohio State 56 +14.0 at Michigan State 71
average outcome:
Michigan State 68.7 Ohio State 65.4
margin = -3.26
time-weighted average outcome:
Michigan State 72.3 Ohio State 67.7
margin = -4.53
average result when the home team is Ohio State
Michigan State 68.0 Ohio State 67.6
margin = -0.41
average result when the home team is Michigan State
Ohio State 64.0 Michigan State 69.3
margin = 5.28
50.00 % of games went Over
57.14 % went Over at Ohio State
(since 2002 )
average total points per game = 134.14
time-weighted average total = 140.02
the home team covered 47.06 % of the time
the road team covered 52.94 % of the time
Ave ATS differential = -1.51
the favorite covered 54.76 % of the time
the underdog covered 45.24 % of the time
Ave ATS differential = -0.89
the favorite won SU 72.09 % of the time
Michigan State covered 59.52 % of the time
Ohio State covered 40.48 % of the time
Ohio State covered 35.29 % of the time at home
Ohio State covered 40.00 % of the time as home favorites
last 8 results:
3/ 1 Nebraska 78 at Ohio State 70 UN 150.0
2/27 Ohio State 60 at Maryland 75 UN 141.5
2/24 Ohio State 86 at Illinois 83 OV 140.5
2/21 Indiana 69 at Ohio State 80 OV 135.5
2/19 Iowa 75 at Ohio State 62 UN 153.5
2/15 Minnesota 45 at Ohio State 70 UN 138.5
2/12 Ohio State 68 at Michigan 57 UN 140.0
2/ 9 Ohio State 64 at Rutgers 66 UN 135.0
***
3/ 1 Michigan State 70 at Michigan 87 OV 144.5
2/26 Purdue 65 at Michigan State 68 UN 146.5
2/22 Michigan State 60 at Iowa 86 UN 153.5
2/19 Illinois 79 at Michigan State 74 OV 140.5
2/15 Michigan State 58 at Penn State 62 UN 129.5
2/12 Indiana 61 at Michigan State 76 OV 134.5
2/ 8 Wisconsin 70 at Michigan State 62 UN 139.0
2/ 5 Michigan State 63 at Rutgers 84 OV 134.0
Our Model
Michigan State 0.0 67 Ohio State -6.0 70 full season data Michigan State 0.0 80 Ohio State -6.0 72 last 4 games data Michigan State 0.0 66 Ohio State -6. 69 last 7 games data
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