Kansas at Baylor Big 12 Basketball Pick ATS – 2/26/22

263
KANSAS AT BAYLOR PICK ATS CBB
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Baylor will host Kansas in Big 12 hoops action today as two of the best teams in the nation hook up and Baylor gets it’s chance at revenge for an 83/59 pounding at Kansas the beginning of February. Baylor is favored by -3.5 with a total of 149.5 at betonline.

Below are the head to head stats along with the predictions from our model.

HEAD TO HEAD

head-to-head history (lined games):
  
 2/ 5/2022  Baylor                   59  + 2.5  at Kansas                   83
 2/27/2021  Baylor                   58  - 4.0  at Kansas                   71
 1/18/2021  Kansas                   69  + 8.5  at Baylor                   77
 2/22/2020  Kansas                   64  + 1.5  at Baylor                   61
 1/11/2020  Baylor                   67  + 7.5  at Kansas                   55
 3/ 9/2019  Baylor                   70  + 8.0  at Kansas                   78
 1/12/2019  Kansas                   73  - 3.5  at Baylor                   68
 2/10/2018  Kansas                   64  - 2.5  at Baylor                   80
 1/20/2018  Baylor                   67  + 9.0  at Kansas                   70
 2/18/2017  Kansas                   67  + 2.0  at Baylor                   65
 2/ 1/2017  Baylor                   68  + 6.5  at Kansas                   73
 3/11/2016  Kansas                   70  - 7.0  vs Baylor                   66
 2/23/2016  Kansas                   66  - 2.5  at Baylor                   60
 1/ 2/2016  Baylor                   74  +12.0  at Kansas                  102
 3/13/2015  Kansas                   62  - 1.5  vs Baylor                   52
 2/14/2015  Baylor                   64  + 7.5  at Kansas                   74
 1/ 7/2015  Kansas                   56  + 3.0  at Baylor                   55
 2/ 4/2014  Kansas                   69  - 4.0  at Baylor                   52
 1/20/2014  Baylor                   68  +10.0  at Kansas                   78
 3/ 9/2013  Kansas                   58  - 4.0  at Baylor                   81
 1/14/2013  Baylor                   44  +10.0  at Kansas                   61
 3/ 9/2012  Baylor                   81  + 6.5  ~@ Kansas                   72
 2/ 8/2012  Kansas                   68  + 1.5  at Baylor                   54
 1/16/2012  Baylor                   74  + 7.0  at Kansas                   92
 1/17/2011  Kansas                   85  - 4.0  at Baylor                   65
 1/20/2010  Baylor                   75  +14.5  at Kansas                   81
 3/12/2009  Kansas                   64  - 8.0  vs Baylor                   71
 2/ 2/2009  Kansas                   75  + 0.0  at Baylor                   65
 2/ 9/2008  Baylor                   90  +18.0  at Kansas                  100
 1/24/2007  Kansas                   82  -10.0  at Baylor                   56
 2/21/2006  Baylor                   61  +23.0  at Kansas                   76
 1/25/2005  Kansas                   86  -14.5  at Baylor                   66
 2/18/2004  Baylor                   54  +24.5  at Kansas                   74
 2/11/2003  Kansas                   79  -12.0  at Baylor                   58
 2/16/2002  Baylor                   72  +21.0  at Kansas                   87
 2/12/2001  Kansas                   77  - 8.0  at Baylor                   85
  
   average outcome:
     Kansas                  73.9  Baylor                  66.2
     margin =  -7.72
  
   time-weighted average outcome:
     Kansas                  70.6  Baylor                  65.6
     margin =  -4.99
  
   average result when the home team is Baylor                 
     Kansas                  71.1  Baylor                  65.5
     margin =  -5.63
  
   average result when the home team is Kansas                 
     Baylor                  66.6  Kansas                  78.4
     margin =  11.88
  
    36.36 % of games went Over
    28.57 % went Over at Baylor                 
    (since        2002 )
  
   average total points per game = 140.11
   time-weighted average total   = 136.28
  
   the home team covered  29.03 % of the time
   the road team covered  70.97 % of the time
   Ave ATS differential = -1.11
  
   the favorite  covered  39.39 % of the time
   the underdog  covered  60.61 % of the time
   Ave ATS differential = -2.47
  
   the favorite won SU    68.57 % of the time
  
   Kansas                  covered  58.82 % of the time
   Baylor                  covered  41.18 % of the time
  
   Baylor                  covered  18.75 % of the time at home
   Baylor                  covered   0.00 % of the time as home favorites

 

last 8 results: 
  
    2/21  Baylor                   66  at  Oklahoma State           64    UN 138.5
    2/19  T.C.U.                   62  at  Baylor                   72    UN 138.0
    2/16  Baylor                   73  at  Texas Tech               83    OV 135.5
    2/12  Texas                    63  at  Baylor                   80    OV 130.0
    2/ 9  Baylor                   75  at  Kansas State             60    UN 137.5
    2/ 5  Baylor                   59  at  Kansas                   83    UN 144.5
    1/31  West Virginia            77  at  Baylor                   81    OV 139.5
    1/29  Baylor                   78  at  Alabama                  87    OV 150.5
  
   ***
  
    2/22  Kansas State             83  at  Kansas                  102    OV 142.0
    2/19  Kansas                   71  at  West Virginia            58    UN 147.0
    2/14  Oklahoma State           62  at  Kansas                   76    UN 143.5
    2/12  Oklahoma                 69  at  Kansas                   71    OV 137.5
    2/ 7  Kansas                   76  at  Texas                    79    OV 130.5
    2/ 5  Baylor                   59  at  Kansas                   83    UN 144.5
    2/ 1  Kansas                   70  at  Iowa State               61    UN 136.0
    1/29  Kentucky                 80  at  Kansas                   62    UN 152.0

 

OUR MODEL 

Kansas                     0.0          71           
Baylor                    -3.5          71 FULL SEASON DATA
  
Kansas                     0.0          75           
Baylor                    -3.5          71 LAST 4 GAMES DATA
  
Kansas                     0.0          74           
Baylor                    -3.5          70 LAST 7 GAMES DATA
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