Sports Services Break Even Percentages
When looking into subscribing to a service you need to consider the cost of the service, plus the capital requirements and the winning percentage necessary for you to make a profit. The following charts should help in this regard. We in no way recommend paying a lot of money for a service and then playing a lot in order to make a profit. Everyone needs to establish a bankroll of cash that they are comfortable with potentially losing. This needs to be purely excess capital.
The first chart indicates the winning percentage needed just to BREAK-EVEN for services charging various monthly amounts with varying numbers of plays for $50, $100 & $250 players. NOTE: The high rollers need a much lower winning percentage because they risk more on each Game. The best investment is a little of your own time, because FREE requires the absolute lowest winning percentage to break-even.
$/BET
FREE
$100
$200
$300
$400
$500
6 plays/wk
$50
52.4%
56.3%
60.3%
64.3%
68.3%
72.2%
6 plays/wk
$100
52.4%
54.4%
56.3%
58.3%
60.3%
62.3%
6 plays/wk
$250
52.4%
53.2%
54.0%
54.8%
55.6%
56.3%
8 plays/wk
$50
52.4%
55.4%
58.3%
61.3%
64.3%
67.3%
8 plays/wk
$100
52.4%
53.9%
55.4%
56.8%
58.3%
59.8%
8 plays/wk
$250
52.4%
53.0%
53.4%
54.2%
54.8%
55.4%
10 plays/wk
$50
52.4%
54.8%
57.1%
59.5%
61.9%
64.3%
10 plays/wk
$100
52.4%
53.6%
54.8%
56.0%
57.1%
58.3%
10 plays/wk
$250
52.4%
52.9%
53.3%
53.8%
54.3%
54.8%
12 plays/wk
$50
52.4%
54.4%
56.3%
58.3%
60.3%
62.3%
12 plays/wk
$100
52.4%
53.4%
54.4%
55.4%
56.3%
57.3%
12 plays/wk
$250
52.4%
52.8%
53.2%
53.6%
54.0%
54.4%
If youd like to make $100 profit per month move one column to the right to see the winning percentage required. Thus, if a service charges $400 per month and gives out 8 plays per week, in order for a $100 player to make a $100 profit the service would need to pick 59.8%. For this same service to make a $100 profit for a $50 player, the service would need to win 67.3% of their plays.
since most legitimate services win between 55% and 60% of their Games, it is almost impossible for a small player to make a profit if the cost of the service is over $200 per month.
Another way to look at this, is the amount of money one needs in his/her bankroll. since you shouldnt play more than 2% or 3% on any one Game, only 20% to 30% of your bankroll should be wagered in any one week. This number should be slightly higher when youre winning and slightly lower when youre losing.
Below is a chart which shows the amount of money one must wager EACH WEEK in order to BREAK-EVEN given a services monthly fee and overall winning percentage. This hold true regardless of how much you play on each Game. Once again, if your goal is to make a profit, move over one column to the right for each $100 per month gain.
$100
$200
$300
$400
$500
54%
$735
$1470
$2205
$2941
$3676
56%
$329
$658
$987
$1316
$1645
58%
$212
$424
$636
$848
$1059
60%
$156
$312
$469
$625
$781
62%
$124
$248
$371
$495
$619
65%
$94
$189
$283
$378
$472
Thus, if a service charges $400 per month and picks an excellent 62%, you would need to wager $495 each week to break even. You would also need to have a bankroll of at least $1500. In order to make a $100 profit you would need to risk $619 each week. For a $50 player, this means wagering on 10 to 13 Games each weekend. Many services with such high winning percentages lay out a small number of plays. If this is the case, a small player cannot profit.
Keep in mind that the more Games you play the lower your winning percentage will be. As a point of reference, the winner of Bookies Hells 1997 professional handicappers contest won with a winning percentage of 58% on about 14 plays per week. The winner of the amateur contest had a winning percentage of 62%, but on an average of just 3 plays per week.