Sports Services Break Even Percentages

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Sports Services Break Even Percentages

When looking into subscribing to a service you need to consider the cost of the service, plus the capital requirements and the winning percentage necessary for you to make a profit. The following charts should help in this regard. We in no way recommend paying a lot of money for a service and then playing a lot in order to make a profit. Everyone needs to establish a bankroll of cash that they are comfortable with potentially losing. This needs to be purely “excess” capital.

The first chart indicates the winning percentage needed just to BREAK-EVEN for services charging various monthly amounts with varying numbers of plays for $50, $100 & $250 players. NOTE: The “high rollers” need a much lower winning percentage because they risk more on each Game. The best investment is a little of your own time, because “FREE” requires the absolute lowest winning percentage to break-even.

$/BET

FREE

$100

$200

$300

$400

$500

6 plays/wk

$50

52.4%

56.3%

60.3%

64.3%

68.3%

72.2%

6 plays/wk

$100

52.4%

54.4%

56.3%

58.3%

60.3%

62.3%

6 plays/wk

$250

52.4%

53.2%

54.0%

54.8%

55.6%

56.3%

8 plays/wk

$50

52.4%

55.4%

58.3%

61.3%

64.3%

67.3%

8 plays/wk

$100

52.4%

53.9%

55.4%

56.8%

58.3%

59.8%

8 plays/wk

$250

52.4%

53.0%

53.4%

54.2%

54.8%

55.4%

10 plays/wk

$50

52.4%

54.8%

57.1%

59.5%

61.9%

64.3%

10 plays/wk

$100

52.4%

53.6%

54.8%

56.0%

57.1%

58.3%

10 plays/wk

$250

52.4%

52.9%

53.3%

53.8%

54.3%

54.8%

12 plays/wk

$50

52.4%

54.4%

56.3%

58.3%

60.3%

62.3%

12 plays/wk

$100

52.4%

53.4%

54.4%

55.4%

56.3%

57.3%

12 plays/wk

$250

52.4%

52.8%

53.2%

53.6%

54.0%

54.4%

If you’d like to make $100 profit per month move one column to the right to see the winning percentage required. Thus, if a service charges $400 per month and gives out 8 plays per week, in order for a $100 player to make a $100 profit the service would need to pick 59.8%. For this same service to make a $100 profit for a $50 player, the service would need to win 67.3% of their plays.

since most legitimate services win between 55% and 60% of their Games, it is almost impossible for a small player to make a profit if the cost of the service is over $200 per month.

Another way to look at this, is the amount of money one needs in his/her bankroll. since you shouldn’t play more than 2% or 3% on any one Game, only 20% to 30% of your bankroll should be wagered in any one week. This number should be slightly higher when you’re winning and slightly lower when you’re losing.

Below is a chart which shows the amount of money one must wager EACH WEEK in order to BREAK-EVEN given a services’ monthly fee and overall winning percentage. This hold true regardless of how much you play on each Game. Once again, if your goal is to make a profit, move over one column to the right for each $100 per month gain.

$100

$200

$300

$400

$500

54%

$735

$1470

$2205

$2941

$3676

56%

$329

$658

$987

$1316

$1645

58%

$212

$424

$636

$848

$1059

60%

$156

$312

$469

$625

$781

62%

$124

$248

$371

$495

$619

65%

$94

$189

$283

$378

$472

Thus, if a service charges $400 per month and picks an excellent 62%, you would need to wager $495 each week to break even. You would also need to have a bankroll of at least $1500. In order to make a $100 profit you would need to risk $619 each week. For a $50 player, this means wagering on 10 to 13 Games each weekend. Many services with such high winning percentages lay out a small number of plays. If this is the case, a small player cannot profit.

Keep in mind that the more Games you play the lower your winning percentage will be. As a point of reference, the winner of Bookies’ Hell’s 1997 professional handicappers contest won with a winning percentage of 58% on about 14 plays per week. The winner of the amateur contest had a winning percentage of 62%, but on an average of just 3 plays per week.