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Here are the score predictions from our model for Saturday’s NCAA Tournament games. There are 3 sets of predictions using different time frame parameters as you’ll see below.
We have left off a couple of games. This is because our model doesn’t handle the huge difference in schedule strength that exists in a couple of these games. Specifically, it has trouble with Oakland and Duquesne.
Here are the rest and pay special attention to the underdogs!!
1st score using full season data 2nd score using last 4 games data 3rd score using last 7 games data
Michigan State 139.5 72 NEUTRAL North Carolina -4.0 71 Michigan State 139.5 81 NEUTRAL North Carolina -4.0 57 Michigan State 139.5 69 NEUTRAL North Carolina -4.0 64 Texas 146.0 69 NEUTRAL Tennessee -6.5 78 Texas 146.0 74 NEUTRAL Tennessee -6.5 67 Texas 146.0 71 NEUTRAL Tennessee -6.5 81 Oregon 146.0 72 NEUTRAL Creighton -5.0 77 Oregon 146.0 82 NEUTRAL Creighton -5.0 60 Oregon 146.0 76 NEUTRAL Creighton -5.0 76 Washington State 129.0 62 NEUTRAL Iowa State -7.5 70 Washington State 129.0 48 NEUTRAL Iowa State -7.5 67 Washington State 129.0 52 NEUTRAL Iowa State -7.5 68 Dayton 149.0 68 NEUTRAL Arizona -10.0 85 Dayton 149.0 61 NEUTRAL Arizona -10.0 67 Dayton 149.0 69 NEUTRAL Arizona -10.0 82 Gonzaga -4.0 72 NEUTRAL Kansas 151.5 82 Gonzaga -4.0 82 NEUTRAL Kansas 151.5 65 Gonzaga -4.0 79 NEUTRAL Kansas 151.5 76
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