Rutgers vs. Minnesota: Big Ten Battle in The Barn

51
rutgers vs. minnesota cbb pick
$60 in actual member picks FREE from Docs Sports! - Complete with a PROFIT GUARANTEE! Click Here

Tonight, the Rutgers Scarlet Knights (14-10) travel to Williams Arena to take on the Minnesota Golden Gophers (15-9) in a crucial Big Ten matchup. Both teams are looking to solidify their position in the conference standings, and a win tonight could be a major boost.

Current Odds:

  • Spread: Minnesota -4.5
  • Total: 133.5

Key Points:

  • Defense vs. Offense: This game is shaping up to be a clash of styles. Rutgers boasts the nation’s 2nd-ranked adjusted defensive efficiency, while Minnesota has been putting up points lately, scoring 75+ points in four of their last five games.
  • Rutgers’ Recent Stretch: The Scarlet Knights have been on a roll defensively, holding opponents to 60 points or less in their last four wins. However, their offense has struggled, failing to reach 70 points in any of those victories.
  • Minnesota’s Home Advantage: The Gophers are 15-1 against the spread at home this season, making them a formidable opponent in The Barn.

Against the Spread:

  • Rutgers: 9-13 ATS overall, 3-7 ATS on the road
  • Minnesota: 21-3 ATS overall, 15-1 ATS at home

Prediction:

This game is expected to be a close, low-scoring affair. While Rutgers’ defense is elite, Minnesota’s offensive firepower and home-court advantage could be the difference. However, the Scarlet Knights’ recent defensive dominance shouldn’t be underestimated.

Below are the score predictions from our model. There are 3 predictions. The first uses full season data. The 2nd uses data from the last 4 games only and the 3rd prediction uses data from the last 7 games only.

For college hoops, current form is very important. We’d advise weighing the 3rd prediction more heavily!

Rutgers                  132.5          65           
Minnesota                 -4.5          66
  
Rutgers                  132.5          63           
Minnesota                 -4.5          63
  
Rutgers                  132.5          59           
Minnesota                 -4.5          66

Lastly, here is a look at the head to head history between these two teams.

 3/ 2/2023  Rutgers                  74  - 8.5  at Minnesota                75
 2/ 1/2023  Minnesota                55  +15.0  at Rutgers                  90
 1/22/2022  Rutgers                  65  - 4.5  at Minnesota                68
 3/ 6/2021  Rutgers                  77  - 3.5  at Minnesota                70
 2/ 4/2021  Minnesota                72  + 5.5  at Rutgers                  76
 1/19/2020  Minnesota                56  + 5.5  at Rutgers                  64
 2/24/2019  Minnesota                64  + 1.5  at Rutgers                  68
 1/12/2019  Rutgers                  70  + 9.0  at Minnesota                88
 2/28/2018  Rutgers                  65  - 1.5  vs Minnesota                54
12/ 3/2017  Rutgers                  67  +12.5  at Minnesota                89
 2/11/2017  Minnesota                72  - 6.5  at Rutgers                  63
 3/ 5/2016  Minnesota                52  - 2.0  at Rutgers                  75
 2/23/2016  Rutgers                  61  +12.5  at Minnesota                83
 3/11/2015  Rutgers                  68  +10.0  vs Minnesota                80
 1/17/2015  Rutgers                  80  +12.5  at Minnesota                89
  
   average outcome:
     Rutgers                 70.9  Minnesota               71.1
     margin =   0.27
  
   time-weighted average outcome:
     Rutgers                 72.3  Minnesota               68.9
     margin =  -3.38
  
   average result when the home team is Minnesota              
     Rutgers                 70.6  Minnesota               80.3
     margin =   9.71
  
   average result when the home team is Rutgers                
     Minnesota               61.8  Rutgers                 72.7
     margin =  10.83
  
    60.00 % of games went Over
   100.00 % went Over at Minnesota              
  
   average total points per game = 142.00
   time-weighted average total   = 141.22
  
   the home team covered  69.23 % of the time
   the road team covered  30.77 % of the time
   Ave ATS differential =  5.88
  
   the favorite  covered  66.67 % of the time
   the underdog  covered  33.33 % of the time
   Ave ATS differential =  1.57
  
   the favorite won SU    80.00 % of the time
  
   Rutgers                 covered  46.67 % of the time
   Minnesota               covered  53.33 % of the time
  
   Minnesota               covered  71.43 % of the time at home
   Minnesota               covered  75.00 % of the time as home favorites
Betonline Sportsbook - Fastest Payouts! #1 Rated Must Have Sportsbook! Click Here