Texas AM – Ole Miss NCAAF Point Spread Pick

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Texas A&M

vs.

Ole Miss

SEC

Free College

Football Pick

10/24/15

Last week had an abundance of Top 25 matchups, but this Game will surprisingly be the only one this week. However, the hype for it may be minimal with both teams coming off losses, including Ole Miss dropping to Memphis. That loss, combined with a home Game for the Rebels, has the spread sitting at -6 early in the week at 5 Dimes Sportsbook against the Aggies.

While Ole Miss was a 10-point favorite last week, no one expected them to lose a non-Conference Game to Memphis. Instead, they squandered a 14-point lead and ended up getting outgained by a team that wasn’t known for having a good defense. After starting the season looking unstoppable with a win at Alabama, this team now has a lot of questions to ask.

Texas A&M already knows it has some questions and an 18-point home loss to Alabama isn’t all that surprising. The Aggies’ defense is still a year or two away from becoming a relevant group and their offense still has plenty of room to grow with a running Game that can’t seem to do much.

Mississippi’s problems came to the forefront after losing to Memphis. Their secondary was gashed by Paxton Lynch and they didn’t defend the run all that well either. To make matters worse, stud DT Robert Nkemdiche suffered a concussion while playing on offense and he’s questionable for this Game. against Memphis, the Rebels ran for just 40 yards on 24 attempts (sacks included), which is an alarming number against a non-Power 5 school.

That could be the case again against Texas A&M. Chad Kelly (16 TDs, 7 INTs) may be forced to air it out, likely exclusively to LAquon Treadwell, who went for 144 yards and a touchdown, as well as a 68-yard pass TD against Memphis. The Aggies have held teams like Arkansas and Mississippi State in check for the most part, but those Games were at home. And the worst part about Texas A&M’s defense may be its run defense, which may not be an issue in this matchup.

The other end is a similar situation, as Aggies running back Tra Carson leads the team with 476 rushing yards and 4 TDs and he hasn’t been consistent at all. The Aggies will pass a bunch as well, similar to what Memphis did against Ole Miss. Kyle Allen is having a solid season with 14 touchdowns and five interceptions. His core of wide receivers has been great with Christian Kirk (609 yards, 4 TDs), Josh Reynolds (439 yards) and Ricky Seals-Jones.

since that Alabama win, Ole Miss hasn’t done a whole lot and could easily lose this Game. However, playing at home off a loss, it will be hard to bet against the Rebels.

The Rebels have covered three straight in this meeting, but lost two of those Games, including two home Games in 2012 and 2013. Ole Miss took last year’s Game 35-20, but this defense isn’t as good as that group was.

The Aggies are just 1-6 ATS in their last seven Games following a straight-up loss, while the Rebels don’t have many trends in their favor. The under has hit in Four straight following an ATS loss for Ole Miss.

Our Pick – This Game has see-sawed between -4 and -6 so far this week. At +6 or more we like Texas A&M to keep this one close and possibly even win the Game straight up. Texas A&M +6

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