Texas Tech Red Raiders
Oklahoma State Cowboys
College Football Pick
By Jason Green
Oklahoma State has won 5 straight and if they win out they will win the Big 12 title. They need to get by a Texas Tech team that has the 4th highest scoring team in the nation, but their biggest remaining Game is the season finale on the road facing Oklahoma. The Cowboys have scored at least 37 points in each of their last 5 wins, 2 of which came against top 25 teams.
Texas Tech has lost 4 of their last 5 Games and at 4-5 they still have to win 2 to get a bowl berth. They can light up the scoreboard averaging 50.1 ppg, but they cannot keep other teams from doing the same. OUt of 128 FBS teams Tech ranks 124th in opponents’ points allowed. The Red Raiders have lost both of their Games facing ranked teams this season and OSU comes into this Game ranked 13th in the nation.
OSU is 6-1 ATS in their last 7 Games facing Tech.
The Red Raiders lost to Texas at home 45-37 in their last Game and they did not cover the spread getting 2.5 points.
OSU won their 5th in a row beating Kansas State on the road 43-37 and they covered the spread as a 2-point favorite.
In Tech’s last Game against Texas they had 482 total yards of offense with QB Patrick Mahomes II passing for 367 yards with 3 TD and 1 INT and RB Da’Leon Ward rushed for 93 yards. The offense is there for the Red Raiders, but can they play any D? They are weak both against the pass and the run and in the Texas Game they gave up a whopping 658 total yards of offense.
The sketchy pass defense of Tech will be facing Cowboys’ QB Mason Rudolph, who passed for over 450 yards with 5 TD and 2 INT in the win over Kansas State. He has a loaded WR corps and a good rushing attack that galloped for 180 yards on the ground in the last Game.
It is no surprise the total is set so high at 90, as last season at Tech the Cowboys beat the Red Raiders 70-53.
Tech is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 road Games, 2-6 ATS vs. a team with a winning record, and in their last 12 Games facing a team with a winning record the posted total has gone Over 10 times.
OSU is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 Conference Games, 23-11 ATS vs. a team with a losing record, and in their last 5 Games the posted total has gone Over 4 times.
Jason’s Pick: Needless to say this Game will be a shootout. However, just like last season the Red Raiders will put up a ton of points, but the Cowboys will put up more. They will win their 6th straight, keep their Conference title hopes alive, and cover the 12-point spread.