Rutgers Michigan CFB

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Rutgers

vs.

Michigan

College Football

Free Pick

10/28/17

Michigan finally gets a break in its Schedule, which will allow some time for the team to breathe with John O’Korn at quarterback. since O’Korn has taken over, it’s been rough sledding, even in the win against Indiana. While Rutgers has won its last two Games, the Wolverines are still hefty -24 point home favorites as seen at 5Dimes Sportsbook.

If all goes well, Michigan should gain some confidence back with this matchup. It probably won’t be as bad as last year’s 78-0 beat down, but the Wolverines should still have their way with the SCarlet Knights. Or at least that’s the general thought. These aren’t the same teams as a year ago. Michigan is slightly worse on both ends, while Rutgers is slightly better.

Neither one of these offenses has been good, but the best unit in this Game will once again be the Michigan defense. Even after giving up 42 points to Penn State last week, Michigan remains one of the best in the country allowing just under 19 points and only 264 yards per Game. Rutgers has a winning streak for the first time in a while, but that doesn’t mean this offense is going to get past the Wolverines.

The Knights are a mess offensively no matter who starts at quarterback. Kyle Bolin was replaced by junior Giovanni Rescigno a couple Games ago, but he hasn’t been much better, although still hasn’t tossed an interception. The goal for the offense will be to try and establish a run between Gus Edwards and Robert Martin, both averaging around 4.6 yards per carry. The two have been better than last year’s running attack, but it’s hard to see them having success against this Michigan front. And if Rutgers can’t run, it probably won’t be able to move the ball unless Rescigno suddenly turns into a competent quarterback.

The spread is high because the Wolverines may only need 30 points to cover. Then again, the Wolverines haven’t scored 30 points since the second Game of the season, so that’s another task in itself. O’Korn hasn’t been good under center, but at least hasn’t thrown an interception in the last two Games. He’s still completing only 55.5 percent of his passes and hasn’t thrown for more than 200 yards since the Purdue Game. And even though Rutgers has improved defensively, Michigan should still find plenty of room on the ground. Karan Higdon has taken over as the lead running back with Ty Isaac and Chris Evans seeing smaller roles. But if the Wolverines can’t consistently move the ball on the ground, there’s no telling how this Game turns out.

There’s a chance Michigan runs for 300 yards and wins by 40 points, but there’s also a scenario in which they struggle to move the ball again and only Score20 points. The SCarlet Knights are 4-1 ATS in their last five Games overall, but 1-5 ATS in their last six against a team with a winning record. The Wolverines are 1-4 ATS in their last five home Games and 1-4-1 ATS in their last six overall.

Our Pick – Rutgers +23

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