Once thought to have an easy Schedule, Washington has lost two Games in Conference play as a decent-sized favorite. In all, the Huskies still don’t have a Pac-12 win against a team with a winning record. Utah won’t change that, especially with how the team has looked, losing five of its last six Games. The Huskies were -17 point home favorites early in the week at 5Dimes Sportsbook.
This spread looks kind of big for how Washington has performed, but it’s important to take into consideration that Utah lost its last road Game to Oregon by 21 points. The Utes battled at USC, but this team has been all over the place and too hard to trust in terms of betting. They at least put up a fight against Washington State last week, albeit at home.
As for Washington, this team has taken care of business at home, winning its last three by at least 21 points. Both of its losses have come on the road and now a spot in the Pac-12 title Game could be gone. The Huskies maybe aren’t as good as a year ago, but they should still have enough to dispose of a disappointing Utah team.
The biggest downfall for Washington has been its offense, which is at a much lesser level than a year ago. Jake Browning has just 16 touchdowns compared to 43 a year ago. OUtside of Dante Pettis, there hasn’t been anywhere close to the level of receiver that John Ross was and that’s one of the main problems. And while Myles Gaskin’s total numbers aren’t there, he’s been at the same level and is actually putting in a career-best 6.3 yards per carry. Look for him to get tons of usage in this one after rushing for at least 120 yards in the last three Games. Utah’s run defense is fine, giving up 143 yards per Game and 4.2 yards per carry, but again, will be hard to trust on the road. If Gaskin can have success, that should be enough to get the win for the Huskies.
The other side of the ball is where Washington can cover. As said before, the Huskies are much better at home and the loss at Stanford and Arizona State can’t really be looked at. Utah’s offense can be solid, but after scoring only 20 points at Oregon a few weeks ago, not many will want to trust them.
The problem for the Utes is that Washington has one of the better rush defenses in the country, giving up just 2.8 yards per carry. If that holds true, Utah will struggle to move the ball unless quarterback Tyler Huntley comes through. He hasn’t been bad in his first season as the starter, but his 13 touchdowns and nine interceptions aren’t good. He’s mostly a factor in the ground Game with Zack Moss and if that doesn’t work, Huntley may be forced to throw more, which isn’t good for this offense. Anytime Moss can’t find room on the ground, Utah struggles and that could be the case here.
The Utes are 6-1 ATS in their last seven road Games and 5-1-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record. The Huskies are 5-1 ATS in their last six home Games and 7-2 ATS in their last nine Conference Games. The underdog has covered in the last Four meetings between these schools.
Our Pick – OVER 46.5