Kansas State
at
Oklahoma
College Football
Pick with Betting Odds
10/27/18
Already with a loss, Oklahoma has to run the table the rest of the way and that shouldn’t be a problem against a Kansas State team that it has scored at least 38 points against in the last three years. The Wildcats are coming off a nice win, but they still have a losing record. The Sooners were -25 point home favorites with an over/under of 64 as of Tuesday at 5Dimes Sportsbook.
The only way the over doesn’t hit is if K State can’t move the ball, but that hasn’t been an issue the last couple weeks against Baylor and OK State. In fact, the Wildcats have come alive and easily took down the Cowboys in their last Game behind running back Alex Barnes, who has 504 total yards and seven touchdowns in the last two Games. If that continues, the Wildcats could possibly drop 30 points on an Oklahoma defense that isn’t stopping anyone. Even against TCU, OU still didn’t show much and let up 27 points to one of the worst offenses in the conference.
This Game could go similar to last year when K State ran for 268 yards, but Oklahoma got 410 yards from Baker Mayfield and another 209 yards on the ground. The Wildcats have figured out how to move the ball even with inconsistent quarterback play from Skyler Thompson, who is serving better as a runner than passer. OU doesn’t have a bad rush defense, though neither did OK State and that didn’t matter. If K State can move the ball on the ground, that could at least make this Game competitive for a couple quarters.
However, per usual, the main problem is with K State’s defense, which is allowing 5.2 yards per carry and hasn’t stopped anyone in its two road Games. This matchup has the potential for another 50-plus points for Oklahoma. Kyler Murray still hasn’t slowed down with a ridiculous 25 touchdowns and three interceptions to go with 12.43 yards per attempt and a 72.3% completion rate. There’s no reason to expect that to change after he carved up Texas and TCU the last couple Games. The same goes for the ground Game no matter who is rushing the ball, whether it’s Trey Sermon (questionable) or freshman Kennedy Brooks. As long as Murray is under center, the offense will Scorein bunches with wide outs Marquise Brown and CeeDee LAmb leading the way.
Kansas State has played better in its last two Games, but stopping Oklahoma is a completely different task and something it hasn’t done in a few years. KSU is coming off a bye, but it’s hard to think that matters much after OU just beat TCU on the road by 25 points.
The Wildcats are 4-1 ATS in their last five road Games, but 1-4 ATS in their last five following a straight-up win. The Sooners are 13-5 ATS in their last 18 home Games, yet haven’t covered in their last five against a team with a losing record. The over is 8-2 in the last 10 meetings between these schools and K State is 6-2-1 ATS in the last nine meeting played in Oklahoma.
Our Pick Kansas State +24.5