South Carolina at LSU Free SEC Football Pick ATS – 10/24/20

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south carolina free football pick
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LSU will host South Carolina in a game that will kick off at 7 pm est Saturday night. The Tigers are -6 point favorites as of this writing on Friday, with a total of 55 at MyBookie and BetAnySports.

The Gamecocks sit at 2-2 on the year which is likely where most expected them to be by the end of October. LSU on the other hand, sits at 1-2 and hasn’t looked good in losing to Miss State and Mizu. Their only win came against Vandy.

Historically An LSU Dominated Series

South Carolina and LSU haven’t played since 2015. Historically, this series is all LSU. They have played 21 times since 1930 with LSU going 18-2-1 and regardless of the decade, the Tigers usually won by a large margin.

LSU will start freshman QB TJ Finley this week as Myles Brennan continues to deal with a lower-body injury.

While the starting QB may or may not matter for LSU this week, it’s the defensive side of things that need drastic improvement. Make no mistake, this LSU team is a far cry from the 2020 National Champions.

Had this been a normal college football season, and this game was taking place in front of 102,000 loud screaming Tigers fans in Death Valley, we’d suggest that despite LSU’s problems, the Gamecocks would be up against it this week.

But this isn’t a normal season. There will be a sparse crowd. There’s no momentum to the LSU season, having had their game cancelled last week against Florida and quite frankly, thus far, South Carolina has looked like the better team.

Model Likes SC

Our model requires a minimum of 4 games for each team before we start to put faith in it’s predictions. We’re almost there, as SC has played 4 while LSU has played just 3.

But we run the games through the model regardless and come up with a predicted final for this one of South Carolina 38 LSU 32.

LSU desperately needs this game but the Gamecocks look to be a live dog in this spot. We see some 6.5’s on the board and who knows, maybe we’ll see 7’s by kickoff.

South Carolina +6.5 or better