Texas and Oklahoma will hook up in the Red River Showdown this Saturday, October 8th in a rivalry game that rarely disappoints. The Sooners have won 4 in a row with one of those being the 2018 Big 12 Championship. Oddsmakers Have Texas favored by -7 this year with a total of 66.
Here’s a look at the head to head meetings between these two going back several years.
Head to Head
10/ 9/2021 Texas 48 + 3.0 vs Oklahoma 55
10/10/2020 Texas 45 + 3.0 vs Oklahoma 53
10/12/2019 Texas 27 +11.0 vs Oklahoma 34
12/ 1/2018 Texas 27 + 8.0 vs Oklahoma 39
10/ 6/2018 Texas 48 + 7.0 vs Oklahoma 45
10/14/2017 Texas 24 + 9.0 vs Oklahoma 29
10/ 8/2016 Texas 40 +11.5 vs Oklahoma 45
10/10/2015 Texas 24 +16.5 vs Oklahoma 17
10/11/2014 Texas 26 +16.5 vs Oklahoma 31
10/12/2013 Texas 36 +12.0 vs Oklahoma 20
10/13/2012 Texas 21 + 3.5 vs Oklahoma 63
10/ 8/2011 Texas 17 +10.5 vs Oklahoma 55
10/ 2/2010 Texas 20 + 3.5 vs Oklahoma 28
10/17/2009 Texas 16 - 3.0 vs Oklahoma 13
10/11/2008 Texas 45 + 6.5 vs Oklahoma 35
10/ 6/2007 Texas 21 +10.0 vs Oklahoma 28
10/ 7/2006 Texas 28 - 3.5 vs Oklahoma 10
10/ 8/2005 Texas 45 -14.0 vs Oklahoma 12
10/ 9/2004 Texas 0 + 6.5 vs Oklahoma 12
10/11/2003 Texas 13 + 6.5 vs Oklahoma 65
10/12/2002 Texas 24 - 2.5 vs Oklahoma 35
10/ 6/2001 Texas 3 - 4.0 vs Oklahoma 14
10/ 7/2000 Texas 14 - 3.0 vs Oklahoma 63
10/ 9/1999 Texas 38 - 4.5 vs Oklahoma 28
10/10/1998 Texas 34 - 8.0 vs Oklahoma 3
10/11/1997 Texas 27 - 6.0 vs Oklahoma 24
10/12/1996 Texas 27 -22.0 vs Oklahoma 30
10/14/1995 Texas 24 + 2.0 vs Oklahoma 24
10/ 8/1994 Texas 17 + 4.0 vs Oklahoma 10
10/ 9/1993 Texas 17 +11.0 vs Oklahoma 38
10/10/1992 Texas 34 +10.5 vs Oklahoma 24
10/12/1991 Texas 10 + 6.0 vs Oklahoma 7
10/13/1990 Texas 14 + 8.5 vs Oklahoma 13
average outcome:
Texas 25.9 Oklahoma 30.4
margin = 4.48
time-weighted average outcome:
Texas 36.1 Oklahoma 40.9
margin = 4.89
54.17 % of games went Over
(since 1995 )
average total points per game = 56.24
time-weighted average total = 77.00
the favorite covered 40.63 % of the time
the underdog covered 59.38 % of the time
Ave ATS differential = -1.91
the favorite won SU 62.50 % of the time
Texas covered 56.25 % of the time
Oklahoma covered 43.75 % of the time
Season to Date
1 10/ 1 Oklahoma 24 at T.C.U. 55 OV 69.5
9/24 Kansas State 41 at Oklahoma 34 OV 53.0
9/17 Oklahoma 49 at Nebraska 14 UN 65.5
9/10 Kent State 3 at Oklahoma 33 UN 72.5
9/ 3 UTEP 13 at Oklahoma 45 OV 57.5
***
10/ 1 West Virginia 20 at Texas 38 UN 62.0
9/24 Texas 34 at Texas Tech 37 OV 61.0
9/17 UTSA 20 at Texas 41 OV 57.0
9/10 Alabama 20 at Texas 19 UN 65.0
9/ 3 Louisiana-Monroe 10 at Texas 52 UN 64.0
Are the Longhorns worthy of being installed a -7 point favorite in this spot? Our model seems to think so, predicting a Texas win by 9 to 11 points. But we’re allowed to disagree with the model, and we’re not so sure.
The Longhorns claim to fame this year is almost knocking off Alabama. Impressive, sure. But otherwise, they have a win last week over a mediocre West Virginia team, a win over a mediocre Texas Tech and then wins over La Monroe and UTSA.
The Sooners results are equally unimpressive. Two wins over cup cakes and then Nebraska, a close loss to Kansas State and last weeks debacle at TCU.
Texas does own the better rushing game currently but we can’t ignore the series history here. The Sooners would seem to be the more desperate of the two having lost back to back games. We’d be surprised if this wasn’t a back and forth high scoring affair as most of these are with the game decided late in the 4th.
We’ll take the Sooners +7 here in a game they could win straight up.