CFB Pick: Undefeated BYU Seeks Revenge Against Kansas in Provo

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Kansas vs. BYU CFB Pick ATS
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Undefeated BYU Seeks Revenge Against Kansas in Provo

This Saturday night in Provo, the undefeated No. 7 BYU Cougars (9-0, 6-0 Big 12) host the Kansas Jayhawks (3-6, 2-4 Big 12) in a pivotal Big 12 matchup. While BYU enters as the favorite (-2.5 Betonline), this game carries extra significance as the Cougars look to avenge last year’s 38-27 loss in Lawrence.

Kansas Running Game Poses a Threat

Despite their losing record, Kansas boasts a potent rushing attack led by quarterback Jalon Daniels and running back Devin Neal. Their +1 yard per rush attempt differential ranks 31st in the nation and has earned them respect from bettors, with the line moving from BYU -3 to -2.5.

BYU’s Dominance and a “Special Year”

Our model predicts a 31-21 BYU victory, and we agree. The Cougars have navigated a tougher schedule and dominated several quality opponents. They’ve showcased a championship-caliber offense and a defense that has risen to the occasion.

This season has a special feel for BYU. In those types of years, things tend to go your way. Playing at home, with revenge on their minds, and looking to remain undefeated, we expect BYU to secure a convincing win.

Key Factors

  • BYU’s Run Defense: Containing Daniels and Neal will be crucial for the Cougars. Can they limit Kansas’s ground game and force them into passing situations?
  • Jake Retzlaff’s Efficiency: BYU quarterback Jake Retzlaff has been good this season. If he continues his efficient play, the Cougars’ offense will be difficult to stop.
  • Turnover Battle: Creating turnovers and winning the possession battle will be key for both teams.

Our Prediction

While Kansas has the potential to keep things interesting with their running game, we believe BYU’s overall strength and home-field advantage will be too much to overcome. Our model predicts a 31-21 win for the Cougars, and we see them winning by 10 points or more.

Our Pick – BYU -2.5

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