Tennessee vs. Georgia: Can the Vols Overcome QB Uncertainty and Upset the Bulldogs?
A cloud of uncertainty hangs over Knoxville as the No. 7 Tennessee Volunteers (8-1, 5-1 SEC) prepare to face the No. 12 Georgia Bulldogs (7-2, 5-2 SEC) this Saturday in Athens. While the Volunteers have exceeded expectations this season, the question mark surrounding quarterback Nico Iamaleava’s health looms large.
Georgia is favored by -10.5 with a total of 48 at Betonline Sportsbook.
Iamaleava suffered a head injury last week against Mississippi State and is currently in concussion protocol. His status for Saturday’s game remains unclear. If he can’t go, backup Gaston Moore will get the start.
Can the Vols Win Without Iamaleava?
Despite the uncertainty at quarterback, our model still predicts a thrilling upset with Tennessee edging out the Bulldogs 19-18. Here’s why:
- Moore Showed Promise: While Moore lacks Iamaleava’s star power, he performed admirably in the second half against Mississippi State. He managed the game effectively and made some key plays.
- Offensive Firepower: Even without Iamaleava, Tennessee’s offense boasts a wealth of weapons.
- Defensive Strength: The Volunteers’ defense has been a revelation this season. They rank 15th nationally in passing defense and have shown the ability to generate turnovers.
Why Georgia Can Win
Georgia will be eager to bounce back from their loss to Ole Miss and defend their home turf. Their strengths remain:
- Dominant Run Game: The Bulldogs’ rushing attack is one of the best in the country.
- Elite Defense: Even without several key players from last year, Georgia’s defense is still formidable.
- Home Field Advantage: Sanford Stadium is a notoriously difficult place for opponents to play.
Key Factors
- Iamaleava’s Availability: If Iamaleava plays, it significantly boosts Tennessee’s chances. If not, Moore will need to step up.
- Tennessee’s Run Defense: Containing Georgia’s ground game will be crucial, regardless of who plays quarterback for the Vols.
- Turnover Battle: Georgia quarterback Carson Beck has been prone to interceptions. Can Tennessee’s defense capitalize?
Our Prediction
Despite the uncertainty at quarterback, our model favors Tennessee in a close, low-scoring game.
Betting Advice
With Georgia currently favored by 10.5 points, we like Tennessee to cover the spread. Even if Iamaleava doesn’t play, the Volunteers have the talent and coaching to keep this game competitive. We think his potential absence is over emphasized in this current line.
Our Pick – Tennessee +10.5