Georgia vs. Texas CFB Pick with Analysis: (10-19-24)

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Georgia vs. Texas CFB Pick ATS
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College Football Clash of Titans: No. 1 Texas Hosts No. 5 Georgia in Austin Showdown

Get ready for a college football showdown with massive playoff implications as the No. 1 ranked Texas Longhorns host the No. 5 Georgia Bulldogs this Saturday in Austin. This primetime matchup pits two of the nation’s best teams against each other in what promises to be a hard-fought battle.

Texas Rolling into the Matchup:

The Longhorns are riding high after a dominant 35-3 victory over their arch-rivals, the Oklahoma Sooners, in the Red River Rivalry. Averaging a staggering 43 points and 495 total yards per game, Texas boasts an explosive offense. Quarterback Quinn Ewers has been exceptional, protected by an offensive line that ranks among the best in the nation in pass protection success rate (20th).

Georgia Looks to Bounce Back:

After suffering their only loss of the season to Alabama, the Bulldogs have responded with two consecutive victories. However, they enter this game as underdogs for the first time since 2021. Georgia’s defense, typically a force to be reckoned with, has shown some vulnerability this season, particularly in generating a consistent pass rush. They’ve tallied just 11 sacks through six games, a stat that Texas will look to exploit.

Injuries Impacting the Bulldogs:

Adding to Georgia’s challenges, they’ll be without several key players due to injuries. Linebacker Smael Mondon, running backs Roderick Robinson and Branson Robinson, and offensive lineman Tate Ratledge are all expected to miss the game. Defensive lineman Jordan Hall is probable but won’t be at full strength. The status of center Jared Wilson, who missed the Mississippi State game, remains uncertain.

Key Matchup to Watch:

One critical area to watch is the battle in the trenches. Texas ranks 7th in the nation in yards per rush attempt differential (+2.1), while Georgia ranks 48th (+0.4). The Longhorns’ ability to establish a dominant ground game could be the key to controlling the clock and keeping Georgia’s offense off the field.

Betting Odds and Predictions:

Texas enters the game as a 4.5-point favorite at betonline, with the total set at 56. While Georgia has historically performed well as an underdog (6-2 ATS in its last eight games), Texas has struggled as a favorite against top-5 teams, losing six straight ATS.

Our Pick:

Considering Texas’ offensive firepower, Georgia’s injury woes, and the Longhorns’ home-field advantage, we predict a Texas victory. Our model projects a convincing 24-7 win for the Longhorns. We recommend taking Texas -4.5 and playing the UNDER on the total of 56.5.

Tune In:

Don’t miss this epic clash between two college football titans. Catch all the action on ABC/ESPN+ this Saturday at 7:30 p.m. ET.

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