Clash in the Desert: Arizona State vs. Mississippi State Preview
Kickoff: Saturday, September 7, 10:30 pm EST
Line: Arizona State -5.5, Total 60 MyBookie – BetAnySports
The Setting:
Under the desert stars, Arizona State prepares to host Mississippi State in a late-night showdown. Both teams are seeking redemption after underwhelming seasons, hoping to set the tone for a turnaround in 2024.
Tale of Two Teams:
Arizona State (3-9 in 2023) struggled mightily last season, particularly against top-tier competition, enduring four blowout losses against ranked opponents. Coach Kenny Dillingham enters his second year, seeking improvement with a returning core of 6 offensive and 4 defensive starters.
Mississippi State (5-7 in 2023) also faced a challenging year, faltering against ranked teams with two significant defeats. New head coach Jeff Lebby has the task of steering the Bulldogs back on course.
Line Movement and Model Predictions:
Early bettors favored Arizona State, pushing the line from -4.5 to -6.5. However, recent action has shifted the line back to -5.5. Our model predicts a tight 22-21 win for Arizona State, suggesting value in betting on Mississippi State and the under.
Analysis and Picks:
These teams appear evenly matched, both aiming to rebound from disappointing campaigns. The new coaching staff at Mississippi State adds an element of uncertainty, potentially leading to a lower-scoring game.
While Arizona State holds a slight edge as the home team, the line movement suggests a closer contest than initially anticipated. With a projected one-point margin, backing Mississippi State with +6 points presents strong value. Furthermore, the under seems like a prudent play given the potential for a defensive struggle.
Key Takeaways:
- Both teams are looking to bounce back from lackluster 2023 seasons.
- Mississippi State has a new head coach, Jeff Lebby.
- Arizona State returns 6 offensive and 4 defensive starters.
- The line has fluctuated, reflecting the uncertainty surrounding this matchup.
- Our model predicts a close game with Arizona State winning 22-21.
Our Picks:
- Mississippi State +6
- Mississippi State/Arizona State UNDER 59
Remember:
- Line shopping is crucial, aim for Mississippi State at +6.
Buckle up for an intriguing matchup in the desert! Both teams have something to prove, and this late-night clash could set the stage for their respective seasons.