The NBA Playoffs begin to get interesting starting today as conference semi final series begin between the Bucks and Celtics and the Warriors and Grizzlies.
The Celtics are -200 to beat the Bucks in their series with the price on Bucks being +175. Boston is favored by -4.5 in game 1 with a total of 218.
The Bucks and Celtics played each other 4 times this season with each team winning their two home games (2-2).
The Warriors are a -250 favorite to win their series over the Grizzlies with the take back price on Memphis set at +210. In game 1, Golden State is a -2 point road favorite with a total of 220. Those odds courtesy of betonline.
In the 4 games played between the Grizzlies and Warriors this season, Memphis went 3-1. It needs to be noted however, that the Warriors were not at full strength in any of the 4 matchups.
Here is the way our model sees game 1 in both of these series. Note there are 3 predictions for each game, each using a different time frame parameter.
1st score using full season data
2nd score using last 4 games data
3rd score using last 7 games data
Milwaukee 217.5 111
Boston -4.5 118
Milwaukee 217.5 107
Boston -4.5 109
Milwaukee 217.5 106
Boston -4.5 126
Golden State -2.0 114
Memphis 220.5 116
Golden State -2.0 113
Memphis 220.5 129
Golden State -2.0 117
Memphis 220.5 128