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The Cleveland Cavaliers will host the Atlanta Hawks in a one game playoff tonight. The Cavs are a 2 point home fav with a total of 223. That total is down from an opener 225.5 at Betonline sportsbook.
Below are some recent stats including recent playoff history between these two teams. Finally, at the bottom of this page, a prediction from our model.
Atlanta road ATS record: 14-26
Cleveland home ATS record: 22-15
Atlanta home sched rating: 88.45, ave MoV: 5.55
Atlanta road sched rating: 88.24, ave MoV: -1.85
Cleveland home sched rating: 88.67, ave MoV: 4.41
Cleveland road sched rating: 88.70, ave MoV: -0.33
Atlanta home/road ratings: 91.75 / 90.36
Cleveland home/road ratings: 89.46 / 90.93
Atlanta ave points for/against/combined: 114.05 / 112.12 / 226.17
Cleveland ave points for/against/combined: 107.48 / 105.61 / 213.10
Atlanta home points for/against/combined: 117.02 / 111.48 / 228.50
Atlanta road points for/against/combined: 111.00 / 112.78 / 223.78
Cleveland home points for/against/combined: 107.44 / 103.32 / 210.76
Cleveland road points for/against/combined: 107.52 / 107.86 / 215.38
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head-to-head history (playoffs):
5/ 8/2016 Cleveland 100 - 5.5 at Atlanta 99
5/ 6/2016 Cleveland 121 - 2.5 at Atlanta 108
5/ 4/2016 Atlanta 98 + 7.5 at Cleveland 123
5/ 2/2016 Atlanta 93 + 7.5 at Cleveland 104
5/26/2015 Atlanta 88 + 7.5 at Cleveland 118
5/24/2015 Atlanta 111 + 9.0 at Cleveland 114
5/22/2015 Cleveland 94 + 2.5 at Atlanta 82
5/20/2015 Cleveland 97 + 1.0 at Atlanta 89
5/11/2009 Cleveland 84 -10.0 at Atlanta 74
5/ 9/2009 Cleveland 97 - 8.5 at Atlanta 82
5/ 7/2009 Atlanta 85 +13.0 at Cleveland 105
5/ 5/2009 Atlanta 72 +11.5 at Cleveland 99
average outcome:
Atlanta 90.1 Cleveland 104.7
margin = 14.58
time-weighted average outcome:
Atlanta 96.2 Cleveland 109.1
margin = 12.89
average result when the home team is Cleveland
Atlanta 91.2 Cleveland 110.5
margin = 19.33
average result when the home team is Atlanta
Cleveland 98.8 Atlanta 89.0
margin = -9.83
65.79 % of games went Over
71.79 % went Over at Cleveland
average total points per game = 194.75
time-weighted average total = 205.38
the home team covered 54.55 % of the time
the road team covered 45.45 % of the time
Ave ATS differential = 2.18
the favorite covered 63.64 % of the time
the underdog covered 36.36 % of the time
Ave ATS differential = 4.45
the favorite won SU 83.33 % of the time
Atlanta covered 18.18 % of the time
Cleveland covered 81.82 % of the time
Cleveland covered 83.33 % of the time at home
last 8 results:
4/12 Cleveland 108 at Brooklyn 115 UN 227.0
4/10 Milwaukee 115 at Cleveland 133 OV 227.0
4/ 8 Cleveland 107 at Brooklyn 118 UN 232.5
4/ 5 Cleveland 115 at Orlando 120 OV 214.0
4/ 3 Philadelphia 112 at Cleveland 108 UN 224.5
4/ 2 Cleveland 119 at New York 101 UN 221.0
3/31 Cleveland 107 at Atlanta 131 OV 230.0
3/30 Dallas 120 at Cleveland 112 OV 215.0
***
4/13 Charlotte 103 at Atlanta 132 UN 235.5
4/10 Atlanta 130 at Houston 114 OV 241.5
4/ 8 Atlanta 109 at Miami 113 UN 230.5
4/ 6 Washington 103 at Atlanta 118 UN 231.5
4/ 5 Atlanta 108 at Toronto 118 XX 226.0
4/ 2 Brooklyn 115 at Atlanta 122 UN 240.5
3/31 Cleveland 107 at Atlanta 131 OV 230.0
3/30 Atlanta 136 at Oklahoma City 118 OV 229.0
Model Prediction
Atlanta -2.5 112 Cleveland 225.0 116
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