Hawks vs. Cavs One Game Playoff Pick – 4-15-22

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hawks vs. cavs playoffs pick
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The Cleveland Cavaliers will host the Atlanta Hawks in a one game playoff tonight. The Cavs are a 2 point home fav with a total of 223. That total is down from an opener 225.5 at Betonline sportsbook.

Below are some recent stats including recent playoff history between these two teams. Finally, at the bottom of this page, a prediction from our model.

Atlanta                road ATS record:  14-26
   Cleveland              home ATS record:  22-15
  
   Atlanta                   home sched rating:  88.45,  ave MoV:   5.55  
   Atlanta                   road sched rating:  88.24,  ave MoV:  -1.85  
  
   Cleveland                 home sched rating:  88.67,  ave MoV:   4.41  
   Cleveland                 road sched rating:  88.70,  ave MoV:  -0.33  
  
   Atlanta                   home/road ratings:  91.75 /  90.36
   Cleveland                 home/road ratings:  89.46 /  90.93
  
   Atlanta                   ave points for/against/combined: 114.05 / 112.12 / 226.17
   Cleveland                 ave points for/against/combined: 107.48 / 105.61 / 213.10
  
   Atlanta                  home points for/against/combined: 117.02 / 111.48 / 228.50
   Atlanta                  road points for/against/combined: 111.00 / 112.78 / 223.78
   Cleveland                home points for/against/combined: 107.44 / 103.32 / 210.76
   Cleveland                road points for/against/combined: 107.52 / 107.86 / 215.38
  
  
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head-to-head history (playoffs):   
  
 5/ 8/2016  Cleveland               100  - 5.5  at Atlanta                  99
 5/ 6/2016  Cleveland               121  - 2.5  at Atlanta                 108
 5/ 4/2016  Atlanta                  98  + 7.5  at Cleveland               123
 5/ 2/2016  Atlanta                  93  + 7.5  at Cleveland               104
 5/26/2015  Atlanta                  88  + 7.5  at Cleveland               118
 5/24/2015  Atlanta                 111  + 9.0  at Cleveland               114
 5/22/2015  Cleveland                94  + 2.5  at Atlanta                  82
 5/20/2015  Cleveland                97  + 1.0  at Atlanta                  89
 5/11/2009  Cleveland                84  -10.0  at Atlanta                  74
 5/ 9/2009  Cleveland                97  - 8.5  at Atlanta                  82
 5/ 7/2009  Atlanta                  85  +13.0  at Cleveland               105
 5/ 5/2009  Atlanta                  72  +11.5  at Cleveland                99
  
   average outcome:
     Atlanta                 90.1  Cleveland              104.7
     margin =  14.58
  
   time-weighted average outcome:
     Atlanta                 96.2  Cleveland              109.1
     margin =  12.89
  
   average result when the home team is Cleveland              
     Atlanta                 91.2  Cleveland              110.5
     margin =  19.33
  
   average result when the home team is Atlanta                
     Cleveland               98.8  Atlanta                 89.0
     margin =  -9.83
  
    65.79 % of games went Over
    71.79 % went Over at Cleveland              
  
   average total points per game = 194.75
   time-weighted average total   = 205.38
  
   the home team covered  54.55 % of the time
   the road team covered  45.45 % of the time
   Ave ATS differential =  2.18
  
   the favorite  covered  63.64 % of the time
   the underdog  covered  36.36 % of the time
   Ave ATS differential =  4.45
  
   the favorite won SU    83.33 % of the time
  
   Atlanta                 covered  18.18 % of the time
   Cleveland               covered  81.82 % of the time
  
   Cleveland               covered  83.33 % of the time at home
last 8 results: 
  
    4/12  Cleveland               108  at  Brooklyn                115    UN 227.0
    4/10  Milwaukee               115  at  Cleveland               133    OV 227.0
    4/ 8  Cleveland               107  at  Brooklyn                118    UN 232.5
    4/ 5  Cleveland               115  at  Orlando                 120    OV 214.0
    4/ 3  Philadelphia            112  at  Cleveland               108    UN 224.5
    4/ 2  Cleveland               119  at  New York                101    UN 221.0
    3/31  Cleveland               107  at  Atlanta                 131    OV 230.0
    3/30  Dallas                  120  at  Cleveland               112    OV 215.0
  
   ***
  
    4/13  Charlotte               103  at  Atlanta                 132    UN 235.5
    4/10  Atlanta                 130  at  Houston                 114    OV 241.5
    4/ 8  Atlanta                 109  at  Miami                   113    UN 230.5
    4/ 6  Washington              103  at  Atlanta                 118    UN 231.5
    4/ 5  Atlanta                 108  at  Toronto                 118    XX 226.0
    4/ 2  Brooklyn                115  at  Atlanta                 122    UN 240.5
    3/31  Cleveland               107  at  Atlanta                 131    OV 230.0
    3/30  Atlanta                 136  at  Oklahoma City           118    OV 229.0

Model Prediction

Atlanta                   -2.5         112           
Cleveland                225.0         116