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NFL WEEK TWO
2007
Sunday. September 16th
Bills at Steelers – Steelers sure looked good last week. But of course no team is as good or as bad as they looked the previous week. After all, it was the Browns they beat up on. The Bills didn’t look good at all. But their streak of close Games continues. Going back to the 2nd half of last season, their final 9 Games, they only had one loss by more than a field goal. Remember also, the Steelers were an 8-8 team. While we expected them do to well this year, they still have a new head coach and personnel to break in. Not sure how the Bills will react to their fallen teammate. It could be a rallying point. Or a distraction. Bottom line I guess, it that 9.5 points is too many in this day and age of parity in the NFL. Especially for a team that hasn’t lost by more than 3 for 10 straight Games. Bills +9.5
Bengals at Browns – Brady Quinn moved one step closer to being the starter in Cleveland this week as the Browns dealt opening day starter Charlie Frye to Seattle. Derek Anderson will get the nod this week. We don’t think the Browns can trade points with the Bengals who have no trouble finding the end zone. We’ll ride em again. Bengals -6.5
Colts at Titans – How bout those Titans? They not only beat the Jags last week, they dominated them. Oddsmakers value of the Titans apparently off as shown but their current 11-2 spread run. Not only that, they beat the Super Bowl champs last year 20-17 and lost the other Game by just one point. Some teams simply have other teams number. We’re not about to buck that trend. Titans +7
Texans at Panthers – Panthers trailed 13-7 in the 3rd last week before kicking things into gear and taking over the Game for an eventual 27-13 win. We look for them to keep things rolling this week against a Texans squad in off a win over the hapless Chiefs. Panthers -6.5
49ers at Rams – Big things expected of the 49ers this year but last week shows us there’s still lots of work to be done in San Fran. But the 49ers have the Rams number. 20-4 against the spread when playing the Rams on the road while the Rams are 2-13 against the number as a favorite in their division. Rams fell apart in 2nd half last week against the Panthers and seem to be a team who figures to continue their downward spiral. 49ers +3
Packers at Giants – As of this writing, Eli Manning has the go ahead to play if he feels he can go. Expect Manning to be in there. We don’t feel the Packers will be able to hang with the Giants offense that looks to be clicking on all cylinders. Giants should Score early and often. Expect Manning to be in there. Giants can win this one with offense alone. Giants -1
Falcons at Jaguars – Neither team looked good last week. Apparently oddsmakers still feel the Jags have some fight left in them. Either that, or zero respect for the Falcons. Either way, we can’t lay 10 points with a team that only managed one TD last week and gave up 282 yards rushing. Falcons +10
Saints at Bucs – Big time expectations for the Saints this year, only to get blown out of the building by the Colts in their opener. Perhaps the Bucs will be a little more to their liking. How bout this: Only two of the Bucs drives last week over the final 3 quarters lasted longer than 5 plays! Bucs may be without RB Cadillac Williams. If he does play, he won’t be 100%. Saints have had 4 extra days to prepare and are an incredible 20-3 against the spread on the road within their division. Saints -3.5
Vikings at Lions – Lions QB Kitna predicted 10 wins for the Lions this year. Well, one down and 9 to go but we’re not so sure they get number two here. The Vikings defense looks to be the real deal. The Vikes have beaten the Lions 10 straight times and 14 out of the last 15. Talk about having another teams number! At the very least this will be a Game the Vikes figure to control the tempo with their running Game making the field goal we’re getting here huge. A straight up Vike win seems likely but if not, the +3 will probably still get the money. Vikings +3
Cowboys at Dolphins – We’d rather side with the team built to win now as opposed to the team still looking for answers. At some point teams like the Dolphins have to realize that you can’t keep putting band-aids on the problem. Every year they bring in new (old) pieces to try and solve the puzzle when they should just bite the bullet and do an old fashioned rebuilding job. Cowboys offense looked good in the opener. Cowboys -3.5
Seahawks at Cardinals – Cards look like they still have lots of work to do. This week won’t get any easier going up against a Seattle defense that looks to be for real. With neither team looking great on offense perhaps the under is the way to look here? Not really interested in this one but we’ll side with the Seahawks here. Seahawks -3
Jets at Ravens – Perhaps the Jets will fare a little better when their opponent isn’t stealing their signals! There’s +10 available on this Game…even without Pennington that numbers too big to lay with a team fresh off of being shut down by the Titans. Jets +10
Raiders at Broncos – Broncos only managed to get by the Bills by a point last week and the Raiders always seem to play the Broncos close. 10 is a big number in the NFL. One we’d generally rather be taking than laying. A weak call. But Raiders +10
Chiefs at Bears – The Bears defense looks as good as ever. Matter of fact, even if the Bear offense fails to Scoreonce again this week, the defense will probably find a way to put 10 points or more on the board. But still, as mentioned in the above Game, we hate to lay these big numbers in the NFL and with the Bears offense not getting it done, we’ll take the big number here. Expect the unexpected in the NFL – Chiefs +12.5
Chargers at Patriots – We had this Game circled before the season started. Remember how pissed off the Chargers were last year after the Patriots celebrated their playoff victory on the field in San Diego? The revenge angle is one that rarely works in the NFL. It’s not like college ball. It takes an incident like last season to give that angle any kind of steam. That coupled with the fact we felt the Chargers had some unfinished business this year, had us waiting to unload on the Chargers in this one. But the Pats sure did look good last week against the Jets. Same old Pats. They know how to win. We’re still going to back the Chargers here. Just not as enthusiastically as we thought. Remember too that the Chargers didn’t look great offensively last week, but it was against one of the best defenses in the NFL. While the Pats looked fantastic, but it was the Jets they did it against (stealing signals no less). If you can get 4 or more here, it’s a solid play. Chargers +4
Monday Sept 17th
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