Cowboys – Redskins Free Pick with Analysis

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Week 8

NFL Pick


The Cowboys snapped their two-Game losing streak thumping the San Francisco 49ers in their last Game and they head to the Nation’s Capital as a 1-point road favorite facing the rival Redskins. They had given up 35 points in two straight Games before only giving up 10 points in their last Game, but it was facing the winless 49ers. Ezekiel Elliot is still on the field with his suspension looming and he leads Dallas and their 2nd ranked rushing unit, but the D only ranks 22nd in points allowed.

At 5dimes sportsbook the Cowboys are the 1-point favorites with a total of 50.

The Redskins are coming off a Monday night loss to the Philadelphia Eagles and both the Skins and the Cowboys need a win to keep pace with 5-1 Philly. Washington has lost two of their last three Games and Kirk Cousins is putting up legit numbers, but the run Game has been inconsistent and the D ranks tied for 25th in the league giving up an average of 24.5 ppg.

The road team has covered the spread in the last six Games between these division rivals.

In their last Game the Cowboys beat the 49ers 40-10 where they dominated the Game out-gaining San Francisco 501 yards to 290 yards. They forced three turnovers and did not commit any and they racked up 263 rushing yards. Dak Prescott passed for 234 yards with 3 TD and 0 INT and three Dallas players had at least 54 receiving yards. Elliot led the squad with 72 of those yards in the air on one reception, but he was no one-trick pony also rushing for 147 yards averaging a solid 5.7 yards per carry.

The Redskins will need to contain Elliot in this Game and their run D gave up 127 rushing yards in their last Game.

The Redskins lost the Eagles 34-24 in their last Game where they had a chance, but after what looked like a sack on Philly’s Carson Wentz he broke through and mad ethe big play. Cousins did not get much help from the run Game with 75 rushing yards and they have to help him out in this Game. The Skins QB passed for over 300 yards with 3 TD and 1 INT with the two TE’s of Vernon Davis and Jordan Reed leading the team in receiving yards. Washington needs more production from his WR corps and while Cousins has over 1,600 passing yards this season no WR has more than 70 receiving yards in a Game.

Dallas ranks 11th in the league in total defense and while their run D is their weakness can the Skins take advantage of that?

The Cowboys are 4-9 ATS in their last 13 Games overall, ]2-6 ATS in their last 8 Games following a straight up win, and in their last 5 Games the Over record is 4-1.

The Redskins are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 Games overall, 1-4 ATS in their last 5 home Games, and in their last 5 home Games the Under record is 4-1.

Jason’s Pick: the Redskins have not been a great and in the last six Games in this series the road team has covered every time, but I will buck those trends. I think Cousins will have a big Game, Washington will run the ball, and their D will step up and keep Elliot from having a big Game. The Skins will take this Game and move over .500 on the season in beating their biggest rival in the Cowboys this Sunday.