By: Jason Green
Tennessee Titans (6-4 SU 3-6-1 ATS) vs. Indianapolis Colts (3-7 SU 6-4 ATS)
The Titans had their Four-Game winning streak snapped in their last Game where they were sloppy with the rock with Four turnovers. It was a costly loss, as they dropped out of a first place tie with the Jaguars, who won their last Game, and now trail them by one Game in the AFC South. Tennessee is led by the run Game., which struggled in their last Game, but they face a Colts team this Sunday they beat at home earlier in the season putting up 36 points.
At 5 dimes sportsbook the Titans are 3-point favorites with a total of 45.5.
The Colts have lost Four of their last five Games and at three wins they are in the basement of the AFC South. Andrew LUck is not coming back any time soon and even in the wide-open AFC playoff race Indy is, pretty much, down and out. They have struggled on both sides of the ball and their defense ranks dead last in the league giving up an average of 28 ppg.
The Colts are 6-0 ATS in their last six home Games facing the Titans.
The Titans are coming off a 40-17 loss to the Pittsburgh Steelers where they only had 33 fewer yards, but they had Four turnovers while they did not force any. They did defend the run well, but they could not run the ball and you can’t win coughing up the rock Four times. Marcus Mariota had a Game to forget ACCounting for all of the Tennessee turnovers with Four INT, but he did pass for 306 yards with a TD. While Rishard Matthews and Delanie Walker combined for 205 receiving yards the run Game only ACCounted for 52 yards with Derrick Henry and DeMarco Murray only combining for 42 yards on the ground.
In the earlier match up with the Colts the Titans rushed for 168 yards and if they can run the ball in this Game facing an Indy run D that ranks 15th in the league they will be in good shape.
The Colts had a bye last week and in their last Game they lost to the Steelers 20-17. They were out-GAined by 49 total yards and did not have a good Game running the ball, but they had the lead before being outscored 11-0 in the 4th quarter. Jacoby Brissett passed for 222 yards with 2 TD and 1 INT Chester Rodgers led the way with 104 receving yards. Frank Gore rushed for 54 yards, but only averaged 3.2 yards per cqrry.
Indy had played pretty good D in their last two Games and they will need to do so to win this Game, as their offense will not light up the scoreboard.
The Titans are 7-21 ATS in their last 28 road Games, 5-15-1 ATS in their last 21 Games in November, and in their last 5 Games they have an Over record of 4-1.
The Colts are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 home Games, 8-2 ATS in their last 10 Games after a bye week, and in their last 10 home Games the Under record is 8-2.
Jason’s Pick: The Colts’ defense has been pretty legit in the last two Games and they will keep the Titans from lighting up the scoreboard. However, Tennessee will also play good D and whie the Game will be a close one the Titans will win and cover even on the road.